OWN YOUR EDGE
Smith vs Jr. 18 Apr 2026 Winner: Gutierrez 54.99% ROI: 4.10%
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Result details

Odds 1.8929

Implied 52.83%

Edge 2.16%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-12 14:59:47 UTC

Fighter details
Callum Smith

Score 61.01 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Osvary Gutierrez Jr.

Score 64.35 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Jr. FiteQuant

Punching Power

85.0 · Smith · Conf High
86.0 · Jr. · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

75.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
79.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

72.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
82.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

68.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
74.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

74.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
76.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

82.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
80.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

80.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
78.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

73.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
81.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Chin

70.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
72.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

78.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
77.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Jr.: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
12.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
18.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
26.0 · Jr. · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Smith · Conf High
34.0 · Jr. · Conf High

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Smith · Conf Low
10.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Jr.: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
72.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
28.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
0 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

70.15 · Smith · Conf High
74.08 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Jr. · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 · Smith · Conf High
83.33 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 · Smith · Conf High
45 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

70.15 · Smith · Conf High
74.08 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Smith · Conf High
90 · Jr. · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Jr. reach: 196.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 11.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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