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Tomioka vs Tanaka 02 May 2026 Winner: Tanaka Custom 50.11% ROI: -37.37% Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Tomioka odds 3.8500

Tanaka odds 1.2500

Tomioka implied 25.97%

Tanaka implied 80.00%

Pick odds 1.25

Pick implied 80.00%

Expected return 0.6263

ROI -37.37%

Edge -29.90%

Lean No Value

2026-04-29 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details
KT
Kosuke Tomioka

Score 59.54 · 11-4-0 (8 KO)

Full name Kosuke Tomioka

Age 23 · Rank #288 · Confidence Medium 0.549

Stance Southpaw · H/R 162cm / 166cm · JP

ST
Shogo Tanaka

Score 58.81 · 5-0-0 (3 KO)

Full name Shogo Tanaka

Age 24 · Rank #311 · Confidence Low 0.437

Stance N/A · H/R 161cm / 166cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.0 Tomioka Confidence High 0.790

72.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.490

68.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

70.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.470

70.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

73.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.610

69.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.490

Defensive Skill

54.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.670

67.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.440

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.520

66.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.400

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.630

69.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

62.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.410

64.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.330

Chin

46.0 Tomioka Confidence High 0.750

65.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.310

Cardio Engine

72.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.680

71.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Tomioka: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Tanaka: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.390

18.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.400

Out Boxer

14.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.360

20.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.450

Power Slugger

26.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.550

17.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.400

Boxer Puncher

32.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.580

35.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Puncher

10.0 Tomioka Confidence Low 0.270

10.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.250

Stance Advantage Tomioka Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Tanaka Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.420

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Tomioka Confidence Medium 0.580

33.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Tomioka

100 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Tomioka

66.67 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Tomioka

66.67 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3

50 Tomioka

53.79 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5

85 Tomioka

100 Tanaka

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Tomioka

100 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

45.83 Tomioka

66.67 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Tomioka

66.67 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50 Tomioka

53.79 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Tomioka

100 Tanaka

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tomioka stays in class.

Tanaka stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Tomioka reach: 166.0cm height: 162.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Tanaka reach: 166.0cm height: 161.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Tanaka.

Advantage: Tanaka

Stance Interaction

Tomioka advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Tanaka advantage against orthodox: 67.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Tomioka style:

Tanaka style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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