Jaime Escobedo vs José García

Data as of: 2026-04-24 17:45:38 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super middleweight.

Escobedo vs García 02 May 2026 Winner: Escobedo Custom 69.92% ROI: 4.88% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super middleweight.

Bout details

Escobedo odds 1.5000

García odds 2.4800

Escobedo implied 66.67%

García implied 40.32%

Pick odds 1.5

Pick implied 66.67%

Expected return 1.0488

ROI 4.88%

Edge 3.26%

Lean Value

2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

Fighter details

Jaime Escobedo

Score 67.08 · 45-2-0 (35 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #147 · Confidence Medium 0.663

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · MX

José García

Score 56.62 · 16-2-0 (11 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #317 · Confidence Medium 0.530

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 175cm · MX

Jaime Escobedo

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #147
Current model score: 67.08
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.663
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 45-2-0 (35 KO)

02 May 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Escobedo

Custom

70% Escobedo

30% García

Win probability: 69.92%
Market odds: 1.5
Implied probability: 66.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 4.88%
Value edge: 3.26%
Lean assessment: Value

2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

José García

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #317
Current model score: 56.62
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.530
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 175cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 16-2-0 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.790

77.0 García Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.660

66.0 García Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

78.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.680

63.0 García Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

88.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.820

74.0 García Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

58.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.780

58.0 García Confidence Medium 0.540

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.680

60.0 García Confidence Low 0.480

Ring Iq Adaptability

70.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.650

68.0 García Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

62.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.600

59.0 García Confidence Low 0.370

Chin

69.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.690

56.0 García Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

83.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.760

69.0 García Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Escobedo: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs García: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

32.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.720

22.0 García Confidence Medium 0.530

Out Boxer

9.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.580

10.0 García Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

27.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.760

28.0 García Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.670

30.0 García Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

8.0 Escobedo Confidence Low 0.430

10.0 García Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Advantage Escobedo Advantage Vs Orthodox vs García Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.590

64.0 García Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Escobedo Confidence Low 0.410

36.0 García Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Escobedo

66.67 García

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Escobedo

33.33 García

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Escobedo

33.33 García

Opponent Rating Last 3

76.22 Escobedo

63.68 García

Trend Score Last 5

60 Escobedo

80 García

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

82.2 Escobedo

80 García

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.3 Escobedo

50 García

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Escobedo

33.33 García

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.22 Escobedo

63.68 García

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Escobedo

80 García

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Escobedo stays in class.

García stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Escobedo reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

García reach: 175.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: -5.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Escobedo.

Advantage: Escobedo

Stance Interaction

Escobedo advantage against orthodox: 62.0

García advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: García

Style Interaction

Escobedo style: Pressure Swarmer

García style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral