Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem

Data as of: 2026-08-30 06:27:44 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Pacheco vs Aleem 19 Jul 2026 Model lean: Pacheco Custom 83.37% ROI: -12.46% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Diego Pacheco 83.37%

Pacheco odds 1.0500

Aleem odds 10.0000

Pacheco implied 95.24%

Aleem implied 10.00%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.8754

ROI -12.46%

Edge -11.87%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-15 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Diego Pacheco

Score 69.30 · 26-0-0 (19 KO)

Full name Diego Pacheco

Age 25 · Rank #112 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 201cm · US

Immanuwel Aleem

Score 57.03 · 8-7-2 (8 KO)

Full name Immanuwel M. Aleem

Age 32 · Rank #548 · Confidence Medium 0.545

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Diego Pacheco

Full name: Diego Pacheco
Age: 25
Fighter rank: #112
Current model score: 69.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.568
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 193cm / 201cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 26-0-0 (19 KO)

19 Jul 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Pacheco

Custom

83% Pacheco

17% Aleem

Model lean: Diego Pacheco 83.37%
Win probability: 83.37%
Market odds: 1.05
Implied probability: 95.24%
Expected ROI (1u): -12.46%
Value edge: -11.87%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-07-15 00:30:04 UTC

Immanuwel Aleem

Full name: Immanuwel M. Aleem
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #548
Current model score: 57.03
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.545
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 8-7-2 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Pacheco Confidence High 0.770

74.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

72.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.470

66.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

73.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.540

71.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

74.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.620

60.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.470

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.610

63.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Punching

70.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.410

61.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

75.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.450

57.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

80.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Pacheco: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Aleem: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.410

18.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

22.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.630

16.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

24.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.700

22.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Pacheco Confidence High 0.760

31.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.280

13.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Pacheco vs orthodox · Aleem vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

61.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

39.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.630

32.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Pacheco

0 Aleem

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Pacheco

0 Aleem

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Pacheco

100 Aleem

Opponent Rating Last 3

65.33 Pacheco

89.89 Aleem

Trend Score Last 5

100 Pacheco

30 Aleem

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Pacheco

29.17 Aleem

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

70.83 Pacheco

20.83 Aleem

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Pacheco

100 Aleem

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

65.33 Pacheco

89.89 Aleem

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Pacheco

55 Aleem

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Pacheco stays in class.

Aleem stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Pacheco height: 193.0cm reach: 201.0cm

Aleem height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Pacheco.

Advantage: Pacheco +41.0cm

Stance Interaction

Pacheco vs orthodox: 61.0

Aleem vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Aleem.

Advantage: Aleem

Style Interaction

Pacheco style: Boxer Puncher

Aleem style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral