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Pacheco vs Aleem 18 Jul 2026 Model pick: Pacheco Locked prediction 89.34% ROI: -6.19% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Diego Pacheco 89.34%

Pacheco odds 1.0500

Aleem odds 10.0000

Pacheco implied 95.24%

Aleem implied 10.00%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.9381

ROI -6.19%

Edge -5.89%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-15 00:59:30 UTC

Fighter details
DP
Diego Pacheco

Score 71.75 · 25-0-0 (18 KO)

Full name Diego Pacheco

Age 25 · Rank #65 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 201cm · US

IA
Immanuwel Aleem

Score 53.11 · 8-6-2 (8 KO)

Full name Immanuwel Aleem

Age 32 · Rank #566 · Confidence Medium 0.509

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Pacheco Confidence High 0.790

76.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.680

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.630

63.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

74.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.520

67.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.400

Pace Pressure

76.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.610

72.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

77.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.640

52.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.700

54.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.470

Ring IQ Adaptability

82.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

73.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.500

57.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

79.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.580

49.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

84.0 Pacheco Confidence High 0.760

66.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.560

Style Profile Pacheco: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Aleem: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.340

24.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

24.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.580

14.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.410

Power Slugger

18.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.560

21.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer-Puncher

40.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.730

29.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.250

12.0 Aleem Confidence Low 0.320

Stance Interaction Pacheco vs orthodox  ·  Aleem vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Pacheco Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.570

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Pacheco Confidence Low 0.440

42.0 Aleem Confidence Medium 0.570

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Pacheco

33.33 Aleem

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Pacheco

33.33 Aleem

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Pacheco

100 Aleem

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.38 Pacheco

60.6 Aleem

Trend Score Last 5

100 Pacheco

40 Aleem

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Pacheco

43.59 Aleem

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

40.91 Pacheco

35.9 Aleem

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Pacheco

100 Aleem

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.38 Pacheco

60.6 Aleem

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Pacheco

45 Aleem

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Pacheco stays in class.

Aleem stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Pacheco height: 193.0cm reach: 201.0cm

Aleem height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Pacheco.

Advantage: Pacheco +41.0cm

Stance Interaction

Pacheco vs orthodox: 62.0

Aleem vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Pacheco style: Boxer Puncher

Aleem style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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