Shakhram Giyasov vs Jack Catterall

Data as of: 2026-05-20 14:32:05 UTC Current odds

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Giyasov vs Catterall 23 May 2026 Model pick: Catterall Current odds 58.53% ROI: -20.19% Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Jack Catterall 58.53%

Giyasov odds 3.2500

Catterall odds 1.3636

Giyasov implied 30.77%

Catterall implied 73.34%

Pick odds 1.3636

Pick implied 73.34%

Expected return 0.7981

ROI -20.19%

Edge -14.81%

Lean No Value

Bout Current odds

Odds updated 2026-05-20 11:47:12 UTC

Fighter details

Shakhram Giyasov

Score 67.84 · 17-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Shakhram Djamshedovich Giyasov

Age 32 · Rank #106 · Confidence Medium 0.588

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 176cm · UZ

Jack Catterall

Score 73.18 · 32-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Jack Catterall

Age 32 · Rank #80 · Confidence Medium 0.699

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Shakhram Giyasov

Full name: Shakhram Djamshedovich Giyasov
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #106
Current model score: 67.84
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.588
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 177cm / 176cm
Nationality: UZ
Career snapshot: 17-0-0 (10 KO)

23 May 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Catterall

Current odds

41% Giyasov

59% Catterall

Model pick: Jack Catterall 58.53%
Win probability: 58.53%
Market odds: 1.3636
Implied probability: 73.34%
Expected ROI (1u): -20.19%
Value edge: -14.81%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-05-20 11:47:12 UTC

Jack Catterall

Full name: Jack Catterall
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #80
Current model score: 73.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.699
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 32-2-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

81.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.730

66.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.620

83.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

80.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.610

79.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

72.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.600

62.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

74.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.580

86.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.800

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.610

84.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.760

Ring Iq Adaptability

82.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.690

87.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.790

Counter Punching

75.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.530

85.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.760

Chin

71.0 Giyasov Confidence Low 0.420

78.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

78.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.660

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Giyasov: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Catterall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Giyasov Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.510

Out Boxer

20.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.630

34.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

18.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.580

7.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Giyasov Confidence High 0.750

29.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

8.0 Giyasov Confidence Low 0.310

22.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.580

Stance Advantage Giyasov Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Catterall Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.630

40.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.630

60.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Giyasov

66.67 Catterall

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Giyasov

33.33 Catterall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Giyasov

66.67 Catterall

Opponent Rating Last 3

49.33 Giyasov

68.71 Catterall

Trend Score Last 5

100 Giyasov

80 Catterall

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Giyasov

81.72 Catterall

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

48.81 Giyasov

37.63 Catterall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Giyasov

66.67 Catterall

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

49.33 Giyasov

68.71 Catterall

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Giyasov

80 Catterall

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Giyasov stays in class.

Catterall stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Giyasov reach: 176.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -1.0cm

Catterall reach: 170.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Catterall.

Advantage: Catterall

Stance Interaction

Giyasov advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Catterall advantage against southpaw: 60.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Giyasov

Style Interaction

Giyasov style: Boxer Puncher

Catterall style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral