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Rocha vs Ramírez 12 Sep 2026 Model pick: Rocha Locked prediction 55.68% ROI: -25.12% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Alexis Rocha 55.68%

Rocha odds 1.3448

Ramírez odds 3.0500

Rocha implied 74.36%

Ramírez implied 32.79%

Market odds 1.3448

Implied probability 74.36%

Expected return 0.7488

ROI -25.12%

Edge -18.68%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-06 06:52:29 UTC

Fighter details
AR
Alexis Rocha

Score 65.70 · 26-2-1 (16 KO)

Full name Alexis Rocha

Age 29 · Rank #226 · Confidence Medium 0.643

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US

JR
José Ramírez

Score 62.51 · 29-3-0 (18 KO)

Full name José Carlos Ramírez

Age 34 · Rank #351 · Confidence Medium 0.696

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 184cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

74.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.740

75.0 Ramírez Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

73.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.640

Pace Pressure

78.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.720

82.0 Ramírez Confidence High 0.840

Defensive Skill

67.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.670

61.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.620

63.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.700

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.690

67.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

70.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.560

58.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

60.0 Rocha Confidence High 0.780

74.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

79.0 Rocha Confidence High 0.760

80.0 Ramírez Confidence High 0.820

Style Profile Rocha: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Ramírez: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.560

34.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.670

Out-Boxer

18.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

14.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.540

18.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.730

32.0 Ramírez Confidence High 0.780

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Rocha Confidence Low 0.380

8.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.580

Stance Interaction Rocha vs orthodox  ·  Ramírez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.670

58.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.670

42.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Rocha

33.33 Ramírez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Rocha

0 Ramírez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Rocha

0 Ramírez

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.7 Rocha

70.18 Ramírez

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Rocha

60 Ramírez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.49 Rocha

64.94 Ramírez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.77 Rocha

31.03 Ramírez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Rocha

0 Ramírez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.7 Rocha

70.18 Ramírez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.87 Rocha

70 Ramírez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rocha stays in class.

Ramírez moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Rocha.

Advantage: Rocha

Height Reach Delta

Rocha height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Ramírez height: 178.0cm reach: 184.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Ramírez.

Advantage: Ramírez +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Rocha vs orthodox: 62.0

Ramírez vs southpaw: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Rocha.

Advantage: Rocha

Style Interaction

Rocha style: Boxer Puncher

Ramírez style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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