Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

Data as of: 2026-09-11 17:32:58 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Curiel vs Randall 02 Aug 2026 Model lean: Curiel Custom 51.35% ROI: -44.70% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Raúl Curiel 51.35%

Curiel odds 1.0769

Randall odds 6.8000

Curiel implied 92.86%

Randall implied 14.71%

Market odds 1.0769

Implied probability 92.86%

Expected return 0.5530

ROI -44.70%

Edge -41.51%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-08-02 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Raúl Curiel

Score 63.80 · 16-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Raúl Curiel Garcia

Age 30 · Rank #277 · Confidence Low 0.498

Stance N/A · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

Quinton Randall

Score 54.10 · 1-2-0 (0 KO)

Full name Quinton Nathaniel Randall

Age N/A · Rank #624 · Confidence Low 0.415

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 182cm · US

Raúl Curiel

Full name: Raúl Curiel Garcia
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #277
Current model score: 63.80
Fighter confidence: Low 0.498
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 173cm / 178cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 16-0-0 (14 KO)

02 Aug 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Curiel

Custom

51% Curiel

49% Randall

Model lean: Raúl Curiel 51.35%
Win probability: 51.35%
Market odds: 1.0769
Implied probability: 92.86%
Expected ROI (1u): -44.70%
Value edge: -41.51%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-08-02 00:30:04 UTC

Quinton Randall

Full name: Quinton Nathaniel Randall
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #624
Current model score: 54.10
Fighter confidence: Low 0.415
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 182cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 1-2-0 (0 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.340

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.460

66.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

73.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.390

71.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

71.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.470

61.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.350

Defensive Skill

70.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.430

64.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.420

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.420

68.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.450

Ring IQ Adaptability

76.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.530

67.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.440

Counter Punching

69.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.340

63.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

75.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.410

72.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.480

Cardio Engine

77.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Curiel: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Randall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.420

12.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.280

Out-Boxer

14.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.420

38.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

24.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.300

Boxer-Puncher

36.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.700

27.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.420

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.300

15.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.260

Stance Interaction Curiel vs orthodox · Randall vs unknown stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.620

58.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.530

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.620

42.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.530

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Curiel

0 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Curiel

0 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Curiel

33.33 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3

46.3 Curiel

87.75 Randall

Trend Score Last 5

91.25 Curiel

25 Randall

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Curiel

50 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.18 Curiel

0 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Curiel

33.33 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

46.3 Curiel

87.75 Randall

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95.63 Curiel

25 Randall

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Curiel stays in class.

Randall stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Curiel height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Randall height: 180.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Randall.

Advantage: Randall +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Curiel vs orthodox: 58.0

Randall vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Curiel style: Boxer Puncher

Randall style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral