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Curiel vs Randall 01 Aug 2026 Model pick: Randall Locked prediction 51.95% ROI: 222.08% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Quinton Randall 51.95%

Curiel odds 1.1000

Randall odds 6.2000

Curiel implied 90.91%

Randall implied 16.13%

Market odds 6.2

Implied probability 16.13%

Expected return 3.2208

ROI 222.08%

Edge 35.82%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-29 01:46:30 UTC

Fighter details
RC
Raúl Curiel

Score 66.19 · 15-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Raúl Curiel Garcia

Age 30 · Rank #204 · Confidence Medium 0.532

Stance N/A · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

QR
Quinton Randall

Score 58.69 · 17-3-1 (4 KO)

Full name Quinton Nathaniel Randall

Age 35 · Rank #470 · Confidence Medium 0.598

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 182cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.740

43.0 Randall Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

77.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

75.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.470

72.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

73.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.560

61.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

72.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.490

68.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.500

70.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring IQ Adaptability

76.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.570

73.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

71.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.420

65.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.480

Chin

78.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.520

74.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.680

Cardio Engine

75.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.610

77.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Curiel: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Randall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.340

12.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.480

Out-Boxer

12.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.380

38.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

31.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.640

6.0 Randall Confidence High 0.840

Boxer-Puncher

33.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.660

28.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.250

16.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Curiel vs orthodox  ·  Randall vs unknown stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

43.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

57.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.660

32.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.340

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Curiel

33.33 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Curiel

0 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Curiel

0 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.38 Curiel

76.88 Randall

Trend Score Last 5

90 Curiel

60 Randall

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Curiel

54.17 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

60 Curiel

0 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Curiel

0 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.38 Curiel

76.88 Randall

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Curiel

67.5 Randall

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Curiel stays in class.

Randall stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Curiel height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Randall height: 180.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Randall.

Advantage: Randall +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Curiel vs orthodox: 43.0

Randall vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Curiel style: Boxer Puncher

Randall style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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