OWN YOUR EDGE
Rodríguez vs Hitchins 27 Jul 2026 Model lean: Hitchins Custom 81.61% ROI: -9.79% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Richardson Hitchins 81.61%

Rodríguez odds 6.5000

Hitchins odds 1.1053

Rodríguez implied 15.38%

Hitchins implied 90.47%

Market odds 1.1053

Implied probability 90.47%

Expected return 0.9021

ROI -9.79%

Edge -8.86%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-27 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details
RR
Ricardo Rodríguez

Score 57.04 · 24-3-2 (18 KO)

Full name Ricardo Adan Salas Rodríguez

Age 22 · Rank #539 · Confidence Medium 0.531

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

RH
Richardson Hitchins

Score 74.28 · 21-0-0 (8 KO)

Full name Richardson Hitchins

Age 28 · Rank #42 · Confidence Medium 0.657

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US

IBF Super lightweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.0 Rodríguez Confidence High 0.770

68.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.460

83.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.730

Hand Speed

67.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.410

84.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

72.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

50.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.620

86.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

54.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.550

87.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

Ring IQ Adaptability

56.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.530

85.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

58.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.390

81.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

Chin

63.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.440

79.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

68.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.570

84.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Rodríguez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Hitchins: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Hitchins Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

12.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.500

42.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

26.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.720

9.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Rodríguez Confidence High 0.760

30.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.340

11.0 Hitchins Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Rodríguez vs orthodox  ·  Hitchins vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.360

58.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Rodríguez

100 Hitchins

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Rodríguez

33.33 Hitchins

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Rodríguez

66.67 Hitchins

Opponent Rating Last 3

78.23 Rodríguez

69.44 Hitchins

Trend Score Last 5

60 Rodríguez

100 Hitchins

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Rodríguez

100 Hitchins

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Rodríguez

35.09 Hitchins

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Rodríguez

66.67 Hitchins

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

78.23 Rodríguez

69.44 Hitchins

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Rodríguez

100 Hitchins

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rodríguez stays in class.

Hitchins stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Rodríguez height: 171.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Hitchins height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hitchins.

Advantage: Hitchins +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Rodríguez vs orthodox: 68.0

Hitchins vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Rodríguez.

Advantage: Rodríguez

Style Interaction

Rodríguez style: Boxer Puncher

Hitchins style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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