Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição

Data as of: 2026-08-20 08:25:05 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Muratalla vs Conceição 02 Aug 2026 Model lean: Muratalla Custom 53.52% ROI: -40.53% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Raymond Muratalla 53.52%

Muratalla odds 1.1111

Conceição odds 6.5000

Muratalla implied 90.00%

Conceição implied 15.38%

Market odds 1.1111

Implied probability 90.00%

Expected return 0.5947

ROI -40.53%

Edge -36.48%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-15 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

Raymond Muratalla

Score 72.92 · 25-0-0 (17 KO)

Full name Raymond Muratalla

Age 29 · Rank #62 · Confidence Medium 0.612

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

Robson Conceição

Score 69.77 · 19-4-1 (9 KO)

Full name Robson Donato Conceição

Age 37 · Rank #107 · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 178cm · BR

Raymond Muratalla

Full name: Raymond Muratalla
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #62
Current model score: 72.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.612
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (17 KO)

World titles

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

02 Aug 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Muratalla

Custom

54% Muratalla

46% Conceição

Model lean: Raymond Muratalla 53.52%
Win probability: 53.52%
Market odds: 1.1111
Implied probability: 90.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -40.53%
Value edge: -36.48%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-07-15 00:30:04 UTC

Robson Conceição

Full name: Robson Donato Conceição
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #107
Current model score: 69.77
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.654
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 178cm
Nationality: BR
Career snapshot: 19-4-1 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.730

70.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.600

75.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

77.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.560

78.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

74.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.610

68.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

79.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.670

80.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.640

82.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.730

Ring IQ Adaptability

83.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.710

81.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

76.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.520

77.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

78.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.580

84.0 Conceição Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

84.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.720

79.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Muratalla: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Conceição: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.430

Out-Boxer

24.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

18.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Muratalla Confidence High 0.790

38.0 Conceição Confidence High 0.770

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.340

10.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Muratalla vs orthodox · Conceição vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.590

42.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.590

58.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Muratalla

33.33 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Muratalla

0 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Muratalla

100 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3

70.03 Muratalla

77.65 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5

100 Muratalla

40 Conceição

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Muratalla

58.33 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.96 Muratalla

20.83 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Muratalla

100 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

70.03 Muratalla

77.65 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Muratalla

58.75 Conceição

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Muratalla stays in class.

Conceição stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Muratalla height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Conceição height: 179.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Conceição.

Advantage: Conceição +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Muratalla vs orthodox: 42.0

Conceição vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Muratalla style: Boxer Puncher

Conceição style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral