Raymond Muratalla vs Robson Conceição

Data as of: 2026-07-06 00:58:29 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-07-06 00:54:38 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Muratalla vs Conceição 02 Aug 2026 Model pick: Muratalla Locked prediction 51.83% ROI: -42.41% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Raymond Muratalla 51.83%

Muratalla odds 1.1111

Conceição odds 6.5000

Muratalla implied 90.00%

Conceição implied 15.38%

Market odds 1.1111

Implied probability 90.00%

Expected return 0.5759

ROI -42.41%

Edge -38.17%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

IBF WBC

Lightweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-06 00:54:38 UTC

Fighter details

Raymond Muratalla

Score 69.92 · 24-0-0 (17 KO)

Full name Raymond Muratalla

Age 29 · Rank #97 · Confidence Medium 0.575

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

Robson Conceição

Score 68.51 · 19-3-1 (9 KO)

Full name Robson Donato Conceição

Age 37 · Rank #133 · Confidence Medium 0.665

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 178cm · BR

Raymond Muratalla

Full name: Raymond Muratalla
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #97
Current model score: 69.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.575
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (17 KO)

World titles

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

02 Aug 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Muratalla

Locked prediction

52% Muratalla

48% Conceição

Titles on line

IBF WBC

Lightweight Championship

Model pick: Raymond Muratalla 51.83%
Win probability: 51.83%
Market odds: 1.1111
Implied probability: 90.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -42.41%
Value edge: -38.17%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-06 00:54:38 UTC

Robson Conceição

Full name: Robson Donato Conceição
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #133
Current model score: 68.51
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.665
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 178cm
Nationality: BR
Career snapshot: 19-3-1 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Muratalla Confidence High 0.750

68.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

79.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.620

76.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

78.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.550

79.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

76.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.620

71.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

74.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.580

78.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.570

81.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.680

80.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter Punching

73.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.480

75.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

80.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.540

82.0 Conceição Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

83.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.740

84.0 Conceição Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Muratalla: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Conceição: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.380

10.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

23.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.570

34.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

18.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.490

8.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.720

38.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

8.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.290

10.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Interaction Muratalla vs orthodox · Conceição vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.600

62.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.600

38.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Muratalla

66.67 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Muratalla

33.33 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Muratalla

0 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.71 Muratalla

65.81 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5

100 Muratalla

56.25 Conceição

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Muratalla

75.83 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

54.76 Muratalla

36.67 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Muratalla

0 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.71 Muratalla

65.81 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Muratalla

68.13 Conceição

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Muratalla stays in class.

Conceição moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Muratalla.

Advantage: Muratalla

Height Reach Delta

Muratalla height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Conceição height: 179.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Conceição.

Advantage: Conceição +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Muratalla vs orthodox: 58.0

Conceição vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Muratalla style: Boxer Puncher

Conceição style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral