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Wilson vs Jr. 26 Jul 2026 Model pick: Fulton Locked prediction 63.01% ROI: -25.74% Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Stephen Fulton 63.01%

Wilson odds 4.8000

Jr. odds 1.1786

Wilson implied 20.83%

Jr. implied 84.85%

Market odds 1.1786

Implied probability 84.85%

Expected return 0.7426

ROI -25.74%

Edge -21.84%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-15 01:40:55 UTC

Fighter details
LW
Liam Wilson

Score 58.11 · 18-3-0 (10 KO)

Full name Liam Wilson

Age 30 · Rank #458 · Confidence Medium 0.561

Stance Orthodox · H/R 176cm / 178cm · AU

SJ
Stephen Fulton Jr.

Score 68.80 · 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Full name Stephen Fulton Jr.

Age 31 · Rank #123 · Confidence Medium 0.695

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 179cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.740

58.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

66.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

81.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

72.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.650

71.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

58.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.560

80.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

62.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

83.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring IQ Adaptability

64.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.570

84.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

60.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.430

79.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Chin

61.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

69.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.630

82.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Wilson: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Jr.: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.530

14.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.530

Out-Boxer

14.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.450

38.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

18.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.520

6.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.870

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.660

26.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.360

16.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.500

Stance Interaction Wilson vs orthodox  ·  Jr. vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Wilson

66.67 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Wilson

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Wilson

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

55.18 Wilson

75.56 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

85 Wilson

60 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Wilson

81.06 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Wilson

18.18 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Wilson

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.57 Wilson

75.56 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Wilson

80 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wilson stays in class.

Jr. moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Wilson.

Advantage: Wilson

Height Reach Delta

Wilson height: 176.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Jr. height: 169.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Wilson.

Advantage: Wilson +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wilson vs orthodox: 42.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Style Interaction

Wilson style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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