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Abe vs Shimomachi 02 May 2026 Winner: Abe Custom 57.25% ROI: 54.58% Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Abe odds 2.7000

Shimomachi odds 1.4255

Abe implied 37.04%

Shimomachi implied 70.15%

Pick odds 2.7

Pick implied 37.04%

Expected return 1.5458

ROI 54.58%

Edge 20.22%

Lean Value

2026-04-30 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details
RA
Reiya Abe

Score 61.08 · 27-4-2 (10 KO)

Full name Reiya Abe

Age 33 · Rank #270 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Southpaw · H/R 171cm / 175cm · JP

TS
Toshiki Shimomachi

Score 63.41 · 21-1-3 (12 KO)

Full name Toshiki Shimomachi

Age 29 · Rank #229 · Confidence Medium 0.535

Stance Southpaw · H/R 179cm / 174cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

60.0 Abe Confidence High 0.750

69.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.620

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.570

71.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

68.0 Abe Confidence Low 0.450

73.0 Shimomachi Confidence Low 0.470

Pace Pressure

71.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

69.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.660

77.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

67.0 Abe Confidence Low 0.440

72.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

64.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.560

75.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

78.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.740

78.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Abe: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Shimomachi: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Abe Confidence Low 0.420

12.0 Shimomachi Confidence Low 0.300

Out Boxer

36.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.650

31.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

9.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.720

14.0 Shimomachi Confidence Low 0.450

Boxer Puncher

29.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.670

33.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

12.0 Abe Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Shimomachi Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Advantage Abe Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Shimomachi Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Abe Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Abe Confidence Low 0.420

32.0 Shimomachi Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Abe

100 Shimomachi

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Abe

0 Shimomachi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Abe

33.33 Shimomachi

Opponent Rating Last 3

55.67 Abe

51.33 Shimomachi

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Abe

100 Shimomachi

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

75 Abe

100 Shimomachi

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

16.67 Abe

50 Shimomachi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Abe

33.33 Shimomachi

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.67 Abe

52.67 Shimomachi

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.87 Abe

100 Shimomachi

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Abe stays in class.

Shimomachi stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Abe reach: 175.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Shimomachi reach: 174.0cm height: 179.0cm delta: -5.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Abe.

Advantage: Abe

Stance Interaction

Abe advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Shimomachi advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Abe style: Out Boxer

Shimomachi style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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