Luis Hernández vs John Casimero
Hernández
vs
Casimero
18 Apr 2026
Winner:
Casimero
52.29%
ROI: 47.47%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 2.82
Implied 35.46%
Edge 16.83%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-12 14:59:47 UTC
Fighter details
Luis Hernández
Score 62.60 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)
Age 31 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.693
Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX
John Casimero
Score 64.13 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)
Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.649
Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH
LH
Luis Hernández
- Age
- 31
- Fighter rank
- #3
- Current model score
- 62.60
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.693
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Height/Reach
- 166cm / 171cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 37-2-0 (28 KO)
18 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
48% Hernández
52% Casimero
- Win probability
- 52.29%
- Market odds
- 2.82
- Implied probability
- 35.46%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 47.47%
- Value edge
- 16.83%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-12 14:59:47 UTC
JC
John Casimero
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 64.13
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.649
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 163cm / 178cm
- Nationality
- PH
- Career snapshot
- 35-5-1 (24 KO)
Profile source:
Hernández FiteQuant
·
Casimero FiteQuant
Punching Power
89.0 · Hernández · Conf High
85.0 · Casimero · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
78.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
72.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
82.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
77.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
84.0 · Hernández · Conf High
78.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
61.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
60.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
68.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
64.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
70.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
74.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
71.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
70.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Chin
57.0 · Hernández · Conf High
68.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
74.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
71.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Hernández: Power Slugger
·
Casimero: Power Slugger
Pressure Swarmer
24.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
24.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
8.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
8.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
34.0 · Hernández · Conf High
33.0 · Casimero · Conf High
Boxer Puncher
26.0 · Hernández · Conf High
27.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
8.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
8.0 · Casimero · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Hernández: Vs Orthodox
·
Casimero: Vs Southpaw
Vs Orthodox
66.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
38.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
34.0 · Hernández · Conf Medium
62.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Hernández · Conf High
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Hernández · Conf High
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Hernández · Conf High
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
62.92 · Hernández · Conf High
49 · Casimero · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
80 · Hernández · Conf High
70 · Casimero · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
81.94 · Hernández · Conf High
76.75 · Casimero · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
54.17 · Hernández · Conf High
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Hernández · Conf High
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
62.92 · Hernández · Conf High
50.91 · Casimero · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
80 · Hernández · Conf High
85 · Casimero · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Hernández stays in class.
Casimero stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Hernández reach: 171.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 5.0cm
Casimero reach: 178.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 15.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Casimero.
Stance Interaction
Hernández advantage against orthodox: 66.0
Casimero advantage against southpaw: 62.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Hernández style: Power Slugger
Casimero style: Power Slugger
Interaction: No advantage.
