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Nishida vs Goodman 27 Sep 2026 Model pick: Nishida Locked prediction 60.15% ROI: -25.18% Super bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Ryosuke Nishida 60.15%

Nishida odds 1.2439

Goodman odds 3.8000

Nishida implied 80.39%

Goodman implied 26.32%

Market odds 1.2439

Implied probability 80.39%

Expected return 0.7482

ROI -25.18%

Edge -20.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-02 15:49:23 UTC

Fighter details
RN
Ryosuke Nishida

Score 65.06 · 11-1-0 (2 KO)

Full name Ryosuke Nishida

Age 30 · Rank #246 · Confidence Medium 0.632

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 173cm · JP

SG
Sam Goodman

Score 69.40 · 22-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Sam Goodman

Age 27 · Rank #126 · Confidence Medium 0.645

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 169cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

46.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.770

58.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.630

79.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

71.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.560

77.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.630

Pace Pressure

62.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.580

70.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.650

Defensive Skill

79.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

80.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

81.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.690

Ring IQ Adaptability

83.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.710

82.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Punching

76.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.600

75.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

66.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.450

74.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

82.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.750

84.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Nishida: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Goodman: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.470

12.0 Goodman Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

49.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.740

39.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

4.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.800

7.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer-Puncher

23.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.550

31.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

16.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.430

11.0 Goodman Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Nishida vs orthodox  ·  Goodman vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.670

36.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nishida

66.67 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nishida

0 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Nishida

66.67 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.07 Nishida

66.6 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5

80 Nishida

80 Goodman

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Nishida

83.33 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Nishida

20 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Nishida

66.67 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.07 Nishida

66.6 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Nishida

90 Goodman

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nishida moves up 1 class.

Goodman moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nishida height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Goodman height: 169.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Nishida.

Advantage: Nishida +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nishida vs orthodox: 72.0

Goodman vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nishida.

Advantage: Nishida

Style Interaction

Nishida style: Out Boxer

Goodman style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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