OWN YOUR EDGE
Inoue vs Ioka 02 May 2026 Winner: Ioka Custom 59.44% ROI: 64.06% Tap to expand
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No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.4348

Ioka odds 2.7600

Inoue implied 69.70%

Ioka implied 36.23%

Pick odds 2.76

Pick implied 36.23%

Expected return 1.6406

ROI 64.06%

Edge 23.21%

Lean Value

2026-04-24 16:52:19 UTC

Fighter details
TI
Takuma Inoue

Score 69.44 · 21-2-0 (5 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #105 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

KI
Kazuto Ioka

Score 73.60 · 32-4-1 (17 KO)

Age 37 · Rank #62 · Confidence Medium 0.696

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

74.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.680

81.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

70.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.660

69.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

79.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

80.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.790

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

78.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.730

Ring Iq Adaptability

82.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.710

84.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.820

Counter Punching

74.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.570

79.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.710

Chin

76.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.610

83.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.800

Cardio Engine

84.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

82.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.810

Style Profile Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Ioka: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.540

12.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.520

Out Boxer

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

18.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.860

10.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

42.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.770

Counter Puncher

14.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.520

18.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Ioka Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.520

62.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.520

38.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Ioka

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Inoue

33.33 Ioka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Inoue

66.67 Ioka

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.34 Inoue

63.97 Ioka

Trend Score Last 5

80 Inoue

60 Ioka

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Inoue

62.25 Ioka

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

12.5 Inoue

40.2 Ioka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Inoue

66.67 Ioka

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.34 Inoue

63.97 Ioka

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

82.5 Inoue

75 Ioka

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Ioka moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Ioka.

Advantage: Ioka

Reach vs Height Delta

Inoue reach: 164.0cm height: 164.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Ioka reach: 164.0cm height: 164.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Inoue advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Ioka advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Ioka

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Ioka style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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