Takuma Inoue vs Kazuto Ioka

Data as of: 2026-09-07 07:51:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Inoue vs Ioka 02 May 2026 Model lean: Ioka Custom 57.53% ROI: 58.79% Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Kazuto Ioka 57.53%

Inoue odds 1.4348

Ioka odds 2.7600

Inoue implied 69.70%

Ioka implied 36.23%

Market odds 2.76

Implied probability 36.23%

Expected return 1.5879

ROI 58.79%

Edge 21.30%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-25 15:08:03 UTC

Fighter details

Takuma Inoue

Score 70.69 · 22-2-0 (5 KO)

Full name Takuma Inoue

Age 30 · Rank #98 · Confidence Medium 0.637

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

WBC Bantamweight

Kazuto Ioka

Score 72.55 · 32-5-1 (17 KO)

Full name Kazuto Ioka

Age 37 · Rank #57 · Confidence Medium 0.696

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

Takuma Inoue

Full name: Takuma Inoue
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #98
Current model score: 70.69
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.637
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (5 KO)

World titles

WBC Bantamweight

02 May 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Ioka

Custom

42% Inoue

58% Ioka

Model lean: Kazuto Ioka 57.53%
Win probability: 57.53%
Market odds: 2.76
Implied probability: 36.23%
Expected ROI (1u): 58.79%
Value edge: 21.30%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-25 15:08:03 UTC

Kazuto Ioka

Full name: Kazuto Ioka
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #57
Current model score: 72.55
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.696
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-5-1 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

76.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

84.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

69.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.600

74.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.700

Defensive Skill

82.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.700

82.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.680

80.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring IQ Adaptability

84.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

87.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.800

Counter Punching

76.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.550

81.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

Chin

79.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.670

78.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

83.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

83.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Ioka: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.620

Out-Boxer

43.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

20.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

10.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer-Puncher

25.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

37.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.780

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.340

15.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.530

Stance Interaction Inoue vs orthodox · Ioka vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

42.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Ioka

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Inoue

33.33 Ioka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Inoue

100 Ioka

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.95 Inoue

60.32 Ioka

Trend Score Last 5

80 Inoue

40 Ioka

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 Inoue

60.95 Ioka

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

11.9 Inoue

39.52 Ioka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Inoue

100 Ioka

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.95 Inoue

60.32 Ioka

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Inoue

65 Ioka

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Ioka stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Inoue height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Ioka height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Inoue vs orthodox: 42.0

Ioka vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Ioka.

Advantage: Ioka

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Ioka style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral