Tenshin Nasukawa vs Juan Romero

Matchup weight class

Choose a division to activate the weight-class matchup factor.

Nasukawa vs Romero 10 Apr 2026 Winner: Nasukawa 59.05% ROI: 41.72%

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Choose a division to activate the weight-class matchup factor.

Result details

Odds 2.4

Implied 41.67%

Edge 17.38%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-08 07:37:38 UTC

Fighter details

Tenshin Nasukawa

Score 71.06 · 7-1-0 (2 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 176cm · JP

Juan Romero

Score 73.76 · 45-4-0 (28 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.700

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 168cm · MX

Tenshin Nasukawa

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 71.06
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 165cm / 176cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 7-1-0 (2 KO)

10 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Nasukawa

59% Nasukawa

41% Romero

Win probability: 59.05%
Market odds: 2.4
Implied probability: 41.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 41.72%
Value edge: 17.38%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-04-08 07:37:38 UTC

Juan Romero

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 73.76
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.700
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 163cm / 168cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 45-4-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Nasukawa FiteQuant · Romero FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

66.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

80.0 · Romero · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

82.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

87.0 · Romero · Conf High

Hand Speed

89.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

84.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

74.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

82.0 · Romero · Conf High

Defensive Skill

81.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

78.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

84.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

85.0 · Romero · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

90.0 · Romero · Conf High

Counter Punching

85.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

86.0 · Romero · Conf High

Chin

75.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

72.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

84.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

84.0 · Romero · Conf High

Style Profile

Nasukawa: Out Boxer · Romero: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Low

18.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

39.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

16.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

8.0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

12.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

27.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

38.0 · Romero · Conf High

Counter Puncher

14.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Low

16.0 · Romero · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Nasukawa: Vs Orthodox · Romero: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

68.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

42.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

32.0 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

58.0 · Romero · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Nasukawa · Conf High

66.67 · Romero · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Nasukawa · Conf High

0 · Romero · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Nasukawa · Conf High

33.33 · Romero · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

62.88 · Nasukawa · Conf High

76.25 · Romero · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Nasukawa · Conf High

80 · Romero · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 · Nasukawa · Conf High

80.07 · Romero · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

20 · Nasukawa · Conf High

30.43 · Romero · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Nasukawa · Conf High

33.33 · Romero · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.88 · Nasukawa · Conf High

76.25 · Romero · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 · Nasukawa · Conf Medium

90 · Romero · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nasukawa stays in class.

Romero moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Nasukawa reach: 176.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 11.0cm

Romero reach: 168.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Nasukawa.

Stance Interaction

Nasukawa advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Romero advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Nasukawa.

Style Interaction

Nasukawa style: Out Boxer

Romero style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.