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Acevedo vs Teraji 20 Jul 2026 Model pick: Teraji Locked prediction 50.06% ROI: -36.04% Super flyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Kenshiro Teraji 50.06%

Acevedo odds 3.5000

Teraji odds 1.2778

Acevedo implied 28.57%

Teraji implied 78.26%

Market odds 1.2778

Implied probability 78.26%

Expected return 0.6396

ROI -36.04%

Edge -28.20%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-15 01:20:04 UTC

Fighter details
JA
Jesús Acevedo

Score 60.93 · 32-5-2 (12 KO)

Full name Jesús Israel González Acevedo

Age 29 · Rank #350 · Confidence Medium 0.601

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 175cm · MX

KT
Kenshiro Teraji

Score 75.18 · 25-2-0 (16 KO)

Full name Kenshiro Teraji

Age 34 · Rank #32 · Confidence Medium 0.664

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.720

84.0 Teraji Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

69.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.580

86.0 Teraji Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

68.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.520

87.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

71.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.630

88.0 Teraji Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

64.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.610

78.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.560

82.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring IQ Adaptability

72.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.660

85.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

63.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.470

81.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.620

Chin

66.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.680

74.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

75.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.740

89.0 Teraji Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Acevedo: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Teraji: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.530

Out-Boxer

32.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.630

14.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

10.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.700

20.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.670

36.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.300

12.0 Teraji Confidence Low 0.370

Stance Interaction Acevedo vs orthodox  ·  Teraji vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

66.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.650

62.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

34.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.650

38.0 Teraji Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Acevedo

66.67 Teraji

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Acevedo

66.67 Teraji

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Acevedo

33.33 Teraji

Opponent Rating Last 3

53.67 Acevedo

63.79 Teraji

Trend Score Last 5

91.25 Acevedo

80 Teraji

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Acevedo

81.25 Teraji

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

16.67 Acevedo

66.67 Teraji

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Acevedo

33.33 Teraji

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

53.67 Acevedo

63.79 Teraji

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

91.25 Acevedo

82.5 Teraji

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Acevedo stays in class.

Teraji moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Acevedo.

Advantage: Acevedo

Height Reach Delta

Acevedo height: 168.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Teraji height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Acevedo.

Advantage: Acevedo +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Acevedo vs orthodox: 66.0

Teraji vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Acevedo style: Out Boxer

Teraji style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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