Model pick Errol Spence 74.75%
Jr. odds 1.7353
Tszyu odds 2.0200
Jr. implied 57.63%
Tszyu implied 49.50%
Market odds 1.7353
Implied probability 57.63%
Expected return 1.2972
ROI 29.72%
Edge 17.12%
Lean Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-07-15 01:50:40 UTC
Score 75.13 · 28-1-0 (22 KO)
Full name Errol Spence Jr.
Age 36 · Rank #34 · Confidence Medium 0.704
Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 183cm · US
Score 68.04 · 27-3-0 (18 KO)
Full name Timofei Konstantinovich Tszyu
Age 31 · Rank #142 · Confidence Medium 0.706
Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 179cm · AU
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Jr. moves up 1 class.
Tszyu moves down 1 class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Jr. height: 175.0cm reach: 183.0cm
Tszyu height: 175.0cm reach: 179.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Jr..
Advantage: Jr. +4.0cm
Stance Interaction
Jr. vs orthodox: 72.0
Tszyu vs southpaw: 33.0
Interaction: medium advantage Jr..
Advantage: Jr.
Style Interaction
Jr. style: Boxer Puncher
Tszyu style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
