Model pick Mauricio Lara 65.31%
Lara odds 1.1053
Ornelas odds 6.0000
Lara implied 90.47%
Ornelas implied 16.67%
Market odds 1.1053
Implied probability 90.47%
Expected return 0.7218
ROI -27.82%
Edge -25.17%
Lean No Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-08-03 13:05:59 UTC
Score 61.43 · 28-3-2 (21 KO)
Full name Mauricio Lara Acosta
Age 28 · Rank #361 · Confidence Medium 0.611
Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · MX
Score 49.10 · 28-5-0 (15 KO)
Full name Carlos Lenin Ornelas Zing
Age 31 · Rank #656 · Confidence Low 0.484
Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · MX
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Lara stays in class.
Ornelas moves down 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Lara.
Advantage: Lara
Height Reach Delta
Lara height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm
Ornelas height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm
Stance Interaction
Lara vs orthodox: 38.0
Ornelas vs orthodox: 38.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Lara style: Power Slugger
Ornelas style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: medium advantage Ornelas.
Advantage: Ornelas
