Azat Hovhannisyan vs Eduardo Valencia
Hovhannisyan
vs
Valencia
06 Apr 2026
Winner:
Valencia
55.29%
ROI: 27.17%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 2.3
Implied 43.48%
Edge 11.81%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
Fighter details
Azat Hovhannisyan
Score 60.37 · 24-6-0 (17 KO)
Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.598
Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM
Eduardo Valencia
Score 55.11 · 25-9-2 (10 KO)
Age 30 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.568
Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · MX
AH
Azat Hovhannisyan
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 60.37
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.598
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 168cm / 165cm
- Nationality
- AM
- Career snapshot
- 24-6-0 (17 KO)
06 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
45% Hovhannisyan
55% Valencia
- Win probability
- 55.29%
- Market odds
- 2.3
- Implied probability
- 43.48%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 27.17%
- Value edge
- 11.81%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
EV
Eduardo Valencia
- Age
- 30
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 55.11
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.568
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 175cm / 178cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 25-9-2 (10 KO)
Profile source:
Hovhannisyan FiteQuant
·
Valencia FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
84.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
56.0 · Valencia · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
67.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
63.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
71.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
61.0 · Valencia · Conf Low
Pace Pressure
79.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
66.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
59.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
57.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
61.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
60.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
64.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
64.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
58.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
58.0 · Valencia · Conf Low
Chin
66.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
55.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
72.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
68.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer
·
Valencia: Pressure Swarmer
Pressure Swarmer
34.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
34.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
8.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
14.0 · Valencia · Conf Low
Power Slugger
28.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
12.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
22.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
28.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
8.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
12.0 · Valencia · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Hovhannisyan: Vs Orthodox
·
Valencia: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
58.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
68.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
42.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
32.0 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
66.67 · Valencia · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
100 · Valencia · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
57.92 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
59.97 · Valencia · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
70 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
55 · Valencia · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
73.72 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
66.67 · Valencia · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
32.69 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
100 · Valencia · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
57.92 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
66.63 · Valencia · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
85 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
55 · Valencia · Conf Medium
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Hovhannisyan stays in class.
Valencia moves down 1 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm
Valencia reach: 178.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 3.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Valencia.
Stance Interaction
Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Valencia advantage against orthodox: 68.0
Interaction: low advantage Valencia.
Style Interaction
Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer
Valencia style: Pressure Swarmer
Interaction: No advantage.
