Andres Cortes vs Eridson Garcia

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Cortes vs Garcia 06 Apr 2026 Winner: Garcia 62.86% ROI: 17.05%

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Result details

Odds 1.8621

Implied 53.70%

Edge 9.16%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC

Fighter details

Andres Cortes

Score 69.89 · 25-0-0 (13 KO)

Age 29 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 165cm · US

Eridson Garcia

Score 57.86 · 23-3-0 (14 KO)

Age 31 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.559

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 180cm · DO

Andres Cortes

Age: 29
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 69.89
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.546
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 165cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (13 KO)

06 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Garcia

37% Cortes

63% Garcia

Win probability: 62.86%
Market odds: 1.8621
Implied probability: 53.70%
Expected ROI (1u): 17.05%
Value edge: 9.16%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC

Eridson Garcia

Age: 31
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 57.86
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.559
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 180cm
Nationality: DO
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Cortes FiteQuant · Garcia FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

76.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

72.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

78.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

66.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

77.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

68.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

74.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

64.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

80.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

58.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

67.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

65.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

73.0 · Cortes · Conf Low

69.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Chin

79.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

52.0 · Garcia · Conf High

Cardio Engine

82.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

71.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Cortes: Boxer Puncher · Garcia: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Cortes · Conf Low

10.0 · Garcia · Conf Low

Out Boxer

22.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

20.0 · Garcia · Conf Low

Power Slugger

18.0 · Cortes · Conf Low

18.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

37.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Cortes · Conf Low

15.0 · Garcia · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Cortes: Vs Orthodox · Garcia: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

66.0 · Cortes · Conf Medium

62.0 · Garcia · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

34.0 · Cortes · Conf Low

38.0 · Garcia · Conf Low

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Cortes · Conf High

66.67 · Garcia · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Cortes · Conf High

33.33 · Garcia · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Cortes · Conf High

100 · Garcia · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

57.11 · Cortes · Conf High

62.86 · Garcia · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Cortes · Conf High

60 · Garcia · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Cortes · Conf High

66.67 · Garcia · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.94 · Cortes · Conf High

33.33 · Garcia · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Cortes · Conf High

100 · Garcia · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.11 · Cortes · Conf High

63.29 · Garcia · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Cortes · Conf High

60 · Garcia · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cortes stays in class.

Garcia moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Cortes reach: 165.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: -5.0cm

Garcia reach: 180.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Garcia.

Stance Interaction

Cortes advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Garcia advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Garcia.

Style Interaction

Cortes style: Boxer Puncher

Garcia style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.