Angel Lardizabal vs Kyosuke Takami

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Lardizabal vs Takami 11 Apr 2026 Winner: Lardizabal 55.39% ROI: 32.95%

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Result details

Odds 2.4

Implied 41.67%

Edge 13.73%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-08 07:37:38 UTC

Fighter details

Angel Lardizabal

Score 61.03 · 18-1-0 (8 KO)

Age 25 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.553

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · MX

Kyosuke Takami

Score 65.42 · 10-1-0 (8 KO)

Age 24 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.512

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 166cm · JP

Angel Lardizabal

Age: 25
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 61.03
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.553
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 168cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 18-1-0 (8 KO)

11 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Lardizabal

55% Lardizabal

45% Takami

Win probability: 55.39%
Market odds: 2.4
Implied probability: 41.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 32.95%
Value edge: 13.73%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-04-08 07:37:38 UTC

Kyosuke Takami

Age: 24
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 65.42
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.512
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 166cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 10-1-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Lardizabal FiteQuant · Takami FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

74.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

84.0 · Takami · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

72.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

74.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

76.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

76.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

73.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

78.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

66.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

64.0 · Takami · Conf Low

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

68.0 · Takami · Conf Low

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

72.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

68.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Low

67.0 · Takami · Conf Low

Chin

61.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Low

69.0 · Takami · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

75.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

75.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Lardizabal: Boxer Puncher · Takami: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Low

26.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

24.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

10.0 · Takami · Conf Low

Power Slugger

12.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Low

31.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

28.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Low

5.0 · Takami · Conf Very Low

Stance Advantage

Lardizabal: Vs Southpaw · Takami: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

42.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Lardizabal · Conf Medium

58.0 · Takami · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Lardizabal · Conf High

66.67 · Takami · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Lardizabal · Conf High

66.67 · Takami · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Lardizabal · Conf High

100 · Takami · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

60.33 · Lardizabal · Conf High

60.33 · Takami · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Lardizabal · Conf High

80 · Takami · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 · Lardizabal · Conf High

83.33 · Takami · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

38.54 · Lardizabal · Conf High

70.83 · Takami · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Lardizabal · Conf High

100 · Takami · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

60.33 · Lardizabal · Conf High

60.33 · Takami · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 · Lardizabal · Conf High

90 · Takami · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Lardizabal stays in class.

Takami moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Lardizabal reach: 168.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Takami reach: 166.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Stance Interaction

Lardizabal advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Takami advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Lardizabal style: Boxer Puncher

Takami style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Lardizabal.