OWN YOUR EDGE
Casimero vs Nery 18 Apr 2026 Winner: Casimero 54.41% ROI: 53.45%
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Result details

Odds 2.82

Implied 35.46%

Edge 18.95%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC

Fighter details
John Casimero

Score 63.71 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)

Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.642

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH

Luis Nery

Score 63.96 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Age 31 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Casimero FiteQuant · Nery FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

84.0 · Casimero · Conf High
88.0 · Nery · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

72.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
76.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

77.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
81.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

78.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
84.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

62.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
66.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
68.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
72.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

75.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
71.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Chin

71.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
62.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

69.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
70.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Casimero: Power Slugger · Nery: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
24.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

8.0 · Casimero · Conf Low
6.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

33.0 · Casimero · Conf High
38.0 · Nery · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

27.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
26.0 · Nery · Conf High

Counter Puncher

8.0 · Casimero · Conf Low
6.0 · Nery · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Casimero: Vs Orthodox · Nery: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
66.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
34.0 · Nery · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
66.67 · Nery · Conf High

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
33.33 · Nery · Conf High

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
33.33 · Nery · Conf High

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 · Casimero · Conf High
61.4 · Nery · Conf High

Trend Score Last 5

70 · Casimero · Conf High
80 · Nery · Conf High

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.75 · Casimero · Conf High
81.94 · Nery · Conf High

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
54.17 · Nery · Conf High

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
33.33 · Nery · Conf High

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.75 · Casimero · Conf High
61.4 · Nery · Conf High

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 · Casimero · Conf High
80 · Nery · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Casimero stays in class.

Nery moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Casimero reach: 178.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 15.0cm

Nery reach: 171.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Casimero.

Stance Interaction

Casimero advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Nery advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Style Interaction

Casimero style: Power Slugger

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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