John Casimero vs Luis Nery
Casimero
vs
Nery
18 Apr 2026
Winner:
Casimero
54.41%
ROI: 53.45%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 2.82
Implied 35.46%
Edge 18.95%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC
Fighter details
John Casimero
Score 63.71 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)
Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.642
Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH
Luis Nery
Score 63.96 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)
Age 31 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.654
Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX
JC
John Casimero
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 63.71
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.642
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 163cm / 178cm
- Nationality
- PH
- Career snapshot
- 35-5-1 (24 KO)
18 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 54.41%
- Market odds
- 2.82
- Implied probability
- 35.46%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 53.45%
- Value edge
- 18.95%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC
LN
Luis Nery
- Age
- 31
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 63.96
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.654
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Height/Reach
- 166cm / 171cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 37-2-0 (28 KO)
Profile source:
Casimero FiteQuant
·
Nery FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
84.0 · Casimero · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
72.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
76.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
77.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
81.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
78.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
84.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
62.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
66.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
66.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
68.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
74.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
72.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
75.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
71.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Chin
71.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
62.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
69.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
70.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Casimero: Power Slugger
·
Nery: Power Slugger
Pressure Swarmer
24.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
24.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
8.0 · Casimero · Conf Low
Power Slugger
33.0 · Casimero · Conf High
Boxer Puncher
27.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
8.0 · Casimero · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Casimero: Vs Orthodox
·
Nery: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
58.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
66.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
42.0 · Casimero · Conf Medium
34.0 · Nery · Conf Medium
Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Ko Rate Last 3
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Opponent Rating Last 3
49 · Casimero · Conf High
Trend Score Last 5
70 · Casimero · Conf High
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
76.75 · Casimero · Conf High
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
66.67 · Casimero · Conf High
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
50.75 · Casimero · Conf High
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
85 · Casimero · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Casimero stays in class.
Nery moves up 1 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Casimero reach: 178.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 15.0cm
Nery reach: 171.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 5.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Casimero.
Stance Interaction
Casimero advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Nery advantage against orthodox: 66.0
Interaction: medium advantage Nery.
Style Interaction
Casimero style: Power Slugger
Nery style: Power Slugger
Interaction: No advantage.