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Casimero vs Nery 06 Jun 2026 Model pick: Nery Current odds 54.91% ROI: -23.13% Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Luis Nery 54.91%

Casimero odds 3.0000

Nery odds 1.4000

Casimero implied 33.33%

Nery implied 71.43%

Pick odds 1.4

Pick implied 71.43%

Expected return 0.7687

ROI -23.13%

Edge -16.52%

Lean No Value

Bout Current odds

Odds updated 2026-06-02 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details
JC
John Riel Casimero

Score 63.14 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)

Full name John Riel Reponte Casimero

Age 37 · Rank #194 · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH

LN
Luis Nery

Score 68.21 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Full name Luis Esteban Nery Hernández

Age 31 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.672

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.770

91.0 Nery Confidence High 0.880

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.620

79.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

74.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.640

83.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

69.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.610

86.0 Nery Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

60.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

63.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.570

69.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.660

74.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

76.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

67.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.600

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Cardio Engine

70.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Casimero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Nery: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

8.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.480

8.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

30.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.750

35.0 Nery Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.690

22.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

10.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.420

7.0 Nery Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Casimero Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Nery Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

42.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero

66.67 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero

33.33 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Casimero

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 Casimero

62.27 Nery

Trend Score Last 5

70 Casimero

80 Nery

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.75 Casimero

81.94 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Casimero

54.17 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Casimero

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.9 Casimero

62.27 Nery

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Casimero

80 Nery

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Casimero moves down 1 class.

Nery stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Height Reach Delta

Casimero height: 163.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Nery height: 166.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Casimero.

Advantage: Casimero +4.0cm

Stance Interaction

Casimero vs southpaw: 58.0

Nery vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Casimero style: Power Slugger

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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