Callum Smith vs David Morrell

Smith vs Morrell 18 Apr 2026 Winner: Morrell 70.25% ROI: 32.97%

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Result details

Odds 1.8929

Implied 52.83%

Edge 17.42%

Lean Value Bet

2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC

Fighter details

Callum Smith

Score 63.92 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

David Morrell

Score 68.24 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Age 28 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.621

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU

Callum Smith

Age: 35
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 63.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.619
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 31-2-0 (22 KO)

18 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Winner

Morrell

30% Smith

70% Morrell

Win probability: 70.25%
Market odds: 1.8929
Implied probability: 52.83%
Expected ROI (1u): 32.97%
Value edge: 17.42%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC

David Morrell

Age: 28
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 68.24
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.621
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 196cm
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Morrell FiteQuant

Punching Power

86.0 · Smith · Conf High

87.0 · Morrell · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

73.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

80.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

71.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

82.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

74.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

72.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

72.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

78.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

76.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

74.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

81.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Chin

68.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

75.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

75.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

77.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Morrell: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Smith · Conf Low

14.0 · Morrell · Conf Low

Out Boxer

25.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

18.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

22.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

24.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

33.0 · Smith · Conf High

34.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Smith · Conf Low

10.0 · Morrell · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Morrell: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

72.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

28.0 · Morrell · Conf Low

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Smith · Conf High

66.67 · Morrell · Conf High

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High

0 · Morrell · Conf High

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Smith · Conf High

33.33 · Morrell · Conf High

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.47 · Smith · Conf High

74.08 · Morrell · Conf High

Trend Score Last 5

80 · Smith · Conf High

80 · Morrell · Conf High

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 · Smith · Conf High

83.33 · Morrell · Conf High

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 · Smith · Conf High

45 · Morrell · Conf High

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Smith · Conf High

33.33 · Morrell · Conf High

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.47 · Smith · Conf High

74.08 · Morrell · Conf High

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Smith · Conf High

90 · Morrell · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Morrell stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Morrell reach: 196.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 11.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Morrell advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Morrell style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.