Callum Smith vs David Morrell
Smith
vs
Morrell
18 Apr 2026
Winner:
Morrell
70.25%
ROI: 32.97%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.8929
Implied 52.83%
Edge 17.42%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC
Fighter details
Callum Smith
Score 63.92 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)
Age 35 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.619
Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB
David Morrell
Score 68.24 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)
Age 28 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.621
Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU
CS
Callum Smith
- Age
- 35
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 63.92
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.619
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 191cm / 198cm
- Nationality
- GB
- Career snapshot
- 31-2-0 (22 KO)
18 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 70.25%
- Market odds
- 1.8929
- Implied probability
- 52.83%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 32.97%
- Value edge
- 17.42%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC
DM
David Morrell
- Age
- 28
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 68.24
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.621
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Height/Reach
- 185cm / 196cm
- Nationality
- CU
- Career snapshot
- 12-1-0 (9 KO)
Profile source:
Smith FiteQuant
·
Morrell FiteQuant
Punching Power
87.0 · Morrell · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
73.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
80.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
71.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
82.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
74.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
72.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
72.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
79.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
78.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
78.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
76.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
74.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
81.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Chin
68.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
75.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
75.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
77.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Smith: Boxer Puncher
·
Morrell: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
14.0 · Morrell · Conf Low
Out Boxer
25.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
18.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
22.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
24.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
34.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
10.0 · Morrell · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Smith: Vs Orthodox
·
Morrell: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
62.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
72.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
38.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
28.0 · Morrell · Conf Low
Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Morrell · Conf High
Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Smith · Conf High
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Morrell · Conf High
Opponent Rating Last 3
67.47 · Smith · Conf High
74.08 · Morrell · Conf High
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
81.67 · Smith · Conf High
83.33 · Morrell · Conf High
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
51.67 · Smith · Conf High
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Morrell · Conf High
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
67.47 · Smith · Conf High
74.08 · Morrell · Conf High
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Smith stays in class.
Morrell stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm
Morrell reach: 196.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 11.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.
Stance Interaction
Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Morrell advantage against orthodox: 72.0
Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.
Style Interaction
Smith style: Boxer Puncher
Morrell style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.