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Sylve vs Hernandez 04 Apr 2026 Model lean: Sylve Custom 96.61% ROI: 2.70% Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Ashton Sylve 96.61%

Sylve odds 1.0630

Hernandez odds 9.5000

Sylve implied 94.07%

Hernandez implied 10.53%

Market odds 1.063

Implied probability 94.07%

Expected return 1.0270

ROI 2.70%

Edge 2.54%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:59 UTC

Fighter details
AS
Ashton Sylve

Score 64.53 · 13-1-1 (10 KO)

Full name Ashton Sylve

Age 22 · Rank #284 · Confidence Medium 0.558

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

RH
Raul Hernandez

Score 8.69 · 8-2-1 (8 KO)

Full name Raúl Antonio Galaviz Hernandez

Age 29 · Rank #800 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / N/A · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Sylve Confidence High 0.770

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

78.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.530

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

61.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.540

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Ring IQ Adaptability

72.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

66.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.480

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Chin

54.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.700

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

76.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.680

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Style Profile Sylve: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Hernandez: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.330

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Out-Boxer

22.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.530

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

24.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.680

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.250

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Stance Interaction Sylve vs unknown stance  ·  Hernandez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.610

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.380

N/A Hernandez Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Sylve

33.33 Hernandez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Sylve

0 Hernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Sylve

100 Hernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.85 Sylve

64.67 Hernandez

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Sylve

60 Hernandez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.49 Sylve

60.42 Hernandez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

38.46 Sylve

25 Hernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Sylve

100 Hernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.85 Sylve

64.67 Hernandez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.87 Sylve

80 Hernandez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Sylve stays in class.

Hernandez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Sylve height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Hernandez height: 168.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Sylve vs unknown stance: N/A

Hernandez vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Sylve style: Boxer Puncher

Hernandez style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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