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Geraghty vs Kazzi 05 Apr 2026 Model lean: Kazzi Custom 56.94% ROI: -24.38% Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Charlie Kazzi 56.94%

Geraghty odds 3.2500

Kazzi odds 1.3279

Geraghty implied 30.77%

Kazzi implied 75.31%

Pick odds 1.3279

Pick implied 75.31%

Expected return 0.7562

ROI -24.38%

Edge -18.36%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:49 UTC

Fighter details
BG
Blair Geraghty

Score 54.14 · 5-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Blair Garry Geraghty

Age 19 · Rank #441 · Confidence Low 0.378

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 175cm · AU

CK
Charlie Kazzi

Score 60.20 · 9-0-1 (4 KO)

Full name Charlie Habib Kazzi

Age 20 · Rank #313 · Confidence Low 0.482

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 175cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Geraghty Confidence Medium 0.690

67.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.660

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.420

70.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

67.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.360

69.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

70.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.480

71.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

56.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.280

68.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.540

Distance Footwork Control

58.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.290

67.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.480

Ring Iq Adaptability

60.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.310

69.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

55.0 Geraghty Confidence Very Low 0.240

63.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.390

Chin

61.0 Geraghty Confidence Very Low 0.220

72.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

64.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.370

74.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Geraghty: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Kazzi: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.370

18.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.360

Out Boxer

8.0 Geraghty Confidence Very Low 0.240

24.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

42.0 Geraghty Confidence Medium 0.690

12.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.390

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.460

34.0 Kazzi Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

8.0 Geraghty Confidence Very Low 0.220

12.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.270

Stance Advantage Geraghty Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Kazzi Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.390

68.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.420

Vs Southpaw

37.0 Geraghty Confidence Low 0.390

32.0 Kazzi Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Geraghty

66.67 Kazzi

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Geraghty

33.33 Kazzi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Geraghty

66.67 Kazzi

Opponent Rating Last 3

44 Geraghty

56.38 Kazzi

Trend Score Last 5

100 Geraghty

90 Kazzi

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Geraghty

83.33 Kazzi

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Geraghty

45.24 Kazzi

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Geraghty

66.67 Kazzi

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

44 Geraghty

56.38 Kazzi

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Geraghty

95 Kazzi

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Geraghty stays in class.

Kazzi stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Geraghty height: 180.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Kazzi height: 173.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Geraghty.

Advantage: Geraghty +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Geraghty vs orthodox: 63.0

Kazzi vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Kazzi.

Advantage: Kazzi

Style Interaction

Geraghty style: Power Slugger

Kazzi style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Kazzi.

Advantage: Kazzi

Model: FiteQuant

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