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Rodriguez vs Nash 05 Apr 2026 Model lean: Nash Custom 95.27% ROI: 3.81% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Troy Nash 95.27%

Rodriguez odds 7.5000

Nash odds 1.0897

Rodriguez implied 13.33%

Nash implied 91.77%

Market odds 1.0897

Implied probability 91.77%

Expected return 1.0381

ROI 3.81%

Edge 3.50%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:51 UTC

Fighter details
BR
Bryan Rodriguez

Score 7.87 · 8-2-0 (1 KO)

Full name Bryan Nabor Rodriguez

Age 20 · Rank #832 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R 178cm / N/A · US

TN
Troy Nash

Score 57.90 · 8-0-1 (1 KO)

Full name Troy Aqealies Tichj Nash

Age 21 · Rank #522 · Confidence Medium 0.502

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 180cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

46.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

63.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.470

Hand Speed

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

66.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

62.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.490

Defensive Skill

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

69.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.540

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

68.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.510

Ring IQ Adaptability

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

71.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

58.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.370

Chin

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

64.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.350

Cardio Engine

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

74.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Rodriguez:  vs  Nash: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

14.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.300

Out-Boxer

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

43.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

6.0 Nash Confidence High 0.800

Boxer-Puncher

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

24.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.450

Counter-Puncher

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

13.0 Nash Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Rodriguez vs orthodox  ·  Nash vs unknown stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

62.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

N/A Rodriguez Confidence No Data

38.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Rodriguez

100 Nash

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Rodriguez

0 Nash

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Rodriguez

100 Nash

Opponent Rating Last 3

54 Rodriguez

60.86 Nash

Trend Score Last 5

60 Rodriguez

91.25 Nash

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Rodriguez

100 Nash

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

7.14 Rodriguez

0 Nash

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Rodriguez

100 Nash

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

54 Rodriguez

60.86 Nash

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Rodriguez

95.63 Nash

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rodriguez stays in class.

Nash stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Rodriguez height: 178.0cm reach: N/A

Nash height: 178.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Rodriguez vs orthodox: N/A

Nash vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Rodriguez style:

Nash style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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