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Peters vs Mouzinho 05 Apr 2026 Model lean: Peters Custom 95.46% ROI: 27.82% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Callum Peters 95.46%

Peters odds 1.3390

Mouzinho odds 9.1000

Peters implied 74.68%

Mouzinho implied 10.99%

Market odds 1.339

Implied probability 74.68%

Expected return 1.2782

ROI 27.82%

Edge 20.78%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:48 UTC

Fighter details
CP
Callum Peters

Score 58.28 · 4-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Callum Peters

Age 23 · Rank #577 · Confidence Low 0.438

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / N/A · AU

DM
Delio Mouzinho

Score 7.52 · 4-1-0 (4 KO)

Full name Delio Anzaqeci Mouzinho

Age 26 · Rank #817 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R N/A / N/A · TL

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Peters Confidence Medium 0.700

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Peters Confidence Medium 0.530

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

72.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.470

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

76.0 Peters Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

66.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.360

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.450

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Ring IQ Adaptability

69.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

67.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.340

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Chin

64.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.270

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

60.0 Peters Confidence Very Low 0.240

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Style Profile Peters: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Mouzinho: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.340

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Out-Boxer

10.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.380

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

36.0 Peters Confidence Medium 0.650

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Peters Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.280

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Stance Interaction Peters vs unknown stance  ·  Mouzinho vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.430

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Peters Confidence Low 0.430

N/A Mouzinho Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Peters

66.67 Mouzinho

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Peters

66.67 Mouzinho

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Peters

66.67 Mouzinho

Opponent Rating Last 3

38.67 Peters

51.18 Mouzinho

Trend Score Last 5

100 Peters

80 Mouzinho

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Peters

83.33 Mouzinho

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Peters

83.33 Mouzinho

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Peters

66.67 Mouzinho

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

39.33 Peters

51.18 Mouzinho

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Peters

80 Mouzinho

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Peters stays in class.

Mouzinho stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Peters height: 182.0cm reach: N/A

Mouzinho height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Peters vs unknown stance: N/A

Mouzinho vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Peters style: Power Slugger

Mouzinho style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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