OWN YOUR EDGE
Wilder vs Chisora 04 Apr 2026 Model lean: Wilder Custom 69.12% ROI: 72.80% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Deontay Wilder 69.12%

Wilder odds 2.5000

Chisora odds 1.5714

Wilder implied 40.00%

Chisora implied 63.64%

Market odds 2.5

Implied probability 40.00%

Expected return 1.7280

ROI 72.80%

Edge 29.12%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-08-24 17:35:04 UTC

Fighter details
Deontay Wilder
Deontay Wilder

Score 61.44 · 45-4-1 (43 KO)

Full name Deontay Leshun Wilder

Age 40 · Rank #364 · Confidence High 0.754

Stance Orthodox · H/R 201cm / 211cm · US

Derek Chisora
Derek Chisora

Score 64.01 · 36-14-0 (23 KO)

Full name Derek Chisora

Age 42 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.702

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 188cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

96.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.950

79.0 Chisora Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

70.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.740

66.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

74.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.760

58.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.710

Pace Pressure

48.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.820

86.0 Chisora Confidence High 0.850

Defensive Skill

56.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.780

60.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

54.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.770

63.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring IQ Adaptability

58.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.720

67.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

78.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.790

61.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.600

Chin

60.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.730

82.0 Chisora Confidence High 0.820

Cardio Engine

57.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.750

78.0 Chisora Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Wilder: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Chisora: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.610

45.0 Chisora Confidence High 0.780

Out-Boxer

12.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.710

6.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

54.0 Wilder Confidence High 0.960

22.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer-Puncher

18.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.730

19.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.640

8.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.580

Stance Interaction Wilder vs orthodox  ·  Chisora vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Wilder Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Chisora Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Wilder

66.67 Chisora

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Wilder

0 Chisora

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Wilder

33.33 Chisora

Opponent Rating Last 3

59.53 Wilder

64.67 Chisora

Trend Score Last 5

70 Wilder

60 Chisora

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.08 Wilder

69.5 Chisora

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

61.35 Wilder

24.47 Chisora

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Wilder

33.33 Chisora

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

59.53 Wilder

64.67 Chisora

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Wilder

60 Chisora

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wilder stays in class.

Chisora stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Wilder height: 201.0cm reach: 211.0cm

Chisora height: 188.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Wilder.

Advantage: Wilder +36.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wilder vs orthodox: 42.0

Chisora vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Chisora.

Advantage: Chisora

Style Interaction

Wilder style: Power Slugger

Chisora style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Wilder.

Advantage: Wilder

Model: FiteQuant

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