Francis Waitai vs Max Reeves

Data as of: 2026-07-16 03:29:28 UTC Historical result As-of 2026-04-05

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Waitai vs Reeves 05 Apr 2026 Result: Reeves Historical result Pick 64.58% Prediction: Incorrect Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Max Reeves

Historical lean Francis Waitai 64.58%

Prediction result Incorrect

Waitai odds 3.1000

Reeves odds 1.5263

Waitai implied 32.26%

Reeves implied 65.52%

Closing odds 3.1

Closing implied 32.26%

Expected return 2.0020

ROI 100.20%

Edge 32.32%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 18:56:45 UTC

Fighter details

Francis Waitai

Score 10.01 · 13-4-1 (0 KO)

Full name Francis Waitai

Age 31 · Rank #718 · Confidence N/A

Stance Southpaw · H/R 190cm / 190cm · NZ

Max Reeves

Score 0.00 · 13-1-1 (8 KO)

Full name Max Reeves

Age N/A · Rank #735 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 184cm / N/A · AU

Francis Waitai

Full name: Francis Waitai
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #718
Current model score: 10.01
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 190cm / 190cm
Nationality: NZ
Career snapshot: 13-4-1 (0 KO)

05 Apr 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Reeves

Historical result

0% Waitai

100% Reeves

Fight result: Max Reeves
Historical lean: Francis Waitai 64.58%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 64.58%
Closing odds: 3.1
Closing implied: 32.26%
Expected ROI (1u): 100.20%
Value edge: 32.32%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 18:56:45 UTC

Max Reeves

Full name: Max Reeves
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #735
Current model score: 0.00
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 184cm / N/A
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 13-1-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Ring IQ Adaptability

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Chin

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Style Profile Waitai: vs Reeves: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Out-Boxer

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Boxer-Puncher

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Counter-Puncher

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Stance Interaction Waitai vs orthodox · Reeves vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Waitai

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Waitai

0 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Waitai

33.33 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.33 Waitai

58.81 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5

80 Waitai

85 Reeves

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Waitai

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

3.33 Waitai

8.33 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Waitai

33.33 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.33 Waitai

58.81 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Waitai

92.5 Reeves

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Waitai stays in class.

Reeves stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Waitai height: 190.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Reeves height: 184.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Waitai vs orthodox: N/A

Reeves vs southpaw: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Waitai style:

Reeves style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral