Joshafat Ortiz vs William Foster

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Ortiz vs Foster 10 Apr 2026 Model lean: Ortiz Custom 87.13% ROI: 509.93% Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Joshafat Ortiz 87.13%

Ortiz odds 7.0000

Foster odds 1.1000

Ortiz implied 14.29%

Foster implied 90.91%

Pick odds 7

Pick implied 14.29%

Expected return 6.0993

ROI 509.93%

Edge 72.85%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:38 UTC

Fighter details

Joshafat Ortiz

Score 49.39 · 13-2-1 (6 KO)

Full name Joshafat Amilcar Ortiz

Age 30 · Rank #489 · Confidence Low 0.453

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

William Foster

Score 7.91 · 19-3-1 (11 KO)

Full name William Gus Foster III

Age 32 · Rank #605 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R 178cm / 177cm · US

Joshafat Ortiz

Full name: Joshafat Amilcar Ortiz
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #489
Current model score: 49.39
Fighter confidence: Low 0.453
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 13-2-1 (6 KO)

10 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Ortiz

Custom

87% Ortiz

13% Foster

Model lean: Joshafat Ortiz 87.13%
Win probability: 87.13%
Market odds: 7
Implied probability: 14.29%
Expected ROI (1u): 509.93%
Value edge: 72.85%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:38 UTC

William Foster

Full name: William Gus Foster III
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #605
Current model score: 7.91
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 178cm / 177cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 19-3-1 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

58.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.400

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

60.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.330

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

59.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.380

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

52.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.500

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

55.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.360

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

56.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

54.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.300

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Chin

57.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.480

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

61.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.470

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Style Profile Ortiz: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Foster: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

24.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

12.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.550

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.670

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

12.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.310

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Ortiz Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Foster Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.450

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.450

N/A Foster Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Ortiz

66.67 Foster

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ortiz

0 Foster

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Ortiz

33.33 Foster

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.58 Ortiz

67.79 Foster

Trend Score Last 5

60 Ortiz

60 Foster

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.17 Ortiz

66.67 Foster

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

37.5 Ortiz

16.67 Foster

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Ortiz

33.33 Foster

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.58 Ortiz

67.79 Foster

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Ortiz

67.5 Foster

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ortiz stays in class.

Foster stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Ortiz height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Foster height: 178.0cm reach: 177.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Foster.

Advantage: Foster +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ortiz vs unknown stance: N/A

Foster vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Ortiz style: Boxer Puncher

Foster style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral