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Romero vs Nasukawa 11 Apr 2026 Result: Nasukawa Historical Pick 68.48% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Tenshin Nasukawa (RTD)

Model pick Tenshin Nasukawa 68.48%

Prediction result Correct

Romero odds 1.8000

Nasukawa odds 2.4000

Romero implied 55.56%

Nasukawa implied 41.67%

Pick odds 2.4

Pick implied 41.67%

Expected return 1.6435

ROI 64.35%

Edge 26.81%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:37 UTC

Fighter details
Juan Romero
Juan Romero

Score 74.69 · 45-6-0 (28 KO)

Full name Juan Francisco Estrada Romero

Age 36 · Rank #46 · Confidence Medium 0.717

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 168cm · MX

Tenshin Nasukawa
Tenshin Nasukawa

Score 76.21 · 9-1-0 (4 KO)

Full name Tenshin Nasukawa

Age 27 · Rank #31 · Confidence Medium 0.681

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 176cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.720

73.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

86.0 Romero Confidence High 0.800

84.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

82.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.730

91.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.820

Pace Pressure

79.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

80.0 Romero Confidence High 0.750

83.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

84.0 Romero Confidence High 0.770

88.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.0 Romero Confidence High 0.830

86.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.750

Counter Punching

85.0 Romero Confidence High 0.790

87.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.770

Chin

70.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.700

79.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.570

Cardio Engine

83.0 Romero Confidence High 0.780

85.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Romero: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Nasukawa: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.630

12.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

14.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

12.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.660

6.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Romero Confidence High 0.800

28.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

18.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.550

16.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Romero Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Nasukawa Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Romero

66.67 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Romero

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Romero

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.19 Romero

65.53 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5

60 Romero

80 Nasukawa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.48 Romero

83.33 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

29.79 Romero

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Romero

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.19 Romero

65.53 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Romero

90 Nasukawa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Romero moves up 1 class.

Nasukawa stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa

Height Reach Delta

Romero height: 163.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Nasukawa height: 165.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Romero vs southpaw: 58.0

Nasukawa vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa

Style Interaction

Romero style: Boxer Puncher

Nasukawa style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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