Model:

Lewys Parfitt vs Morgan McIntosh

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2026-04-04

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Parfitt vs McIntosh 04 Apr 2026 Result: McIntosh Historical Pick 52.44% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Morgan McIntosh (TKO)

Model pick Morgan McIntosh 52.44%

Prediction result Correct

Parfitt odds 1.5714

McIntosh odds 2.5000

Parfitt implied 63.64%

McIntosh implied 40.00%

Pick odds 2.5

Pick implied 40.00%

Expected return 1.3111

ROI 31.11%

Edge 12.44%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:54 UTC

Fighter details

LP

Lewys Parfitt

Score 7.57 · 5-1-0 (1 KO)

Full name Lewys Parfitt

Age 31 · Rank #556 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

MM

Morgan McIntosh

Score 9.20 · 6-1-0 (1 KO)

Full name Morgan McIntosh

Age 29 · Rank #537 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

LP

Lewys Parfitt

Full name: Lewys Parfitt
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #556
Current model score: 7.57
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 5-1-0 (1 KO)

04 Apr 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

McIntosh

Historical

48% Parfitt

52% McIntosh

Fight result: Morgan McIntosh (TKO)
Model pick: Morgan McIntosh 52.44%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 52.44%
Market odds: 2.5
Implied probability: 40.00%
Expected ROI (1u): 31.11%
Value edge: 12.44%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:54 UTC

MM

Morgan McIntosh

Full name: Morgan McIntosh
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #537
Current model score: 9.20
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 6-1-0 (1 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Chin

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Style Profile Parfitt: vs McIntosh: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Parfitt Advantage Vs Orthodox vs McIntosh Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

N/A Parfitt Confidence No Data

N/A McIntosh Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Parfitt

33.33 McIntosh

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Opponent Rating Last 3

56 Parfitt

50.43 McIntosh

Trend Score Last 5

80 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

16.67 Parfitt

33.33 McIntosh

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56 Parfitt

50.43 McIntosh

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Parfitt

100 McIntosh

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Parfitt stays in class.

McIntosh stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Parfitt height: N/A reach: N/A

McIntosh height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Parfitt vs unknown stance: N/A

McIntosh vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Parfitt style:

McIntosh style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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