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Welland vs Morales 04 Apr 2026 Result: Welland Historical Pick 95.65% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Tom Welland (P T S)

Model pick Tom Welland 95.65%

Prediction result Correct

Welland odds 1.0400

Morales odds 11.0000

Welland implied 96.15%

Morales implied 9.09%

Pick odds 1.04

Pick implied 96.15%

Expected return 0.9948

ROI -0.52%

Edge -0.50%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:52 UTC

Fighter details
TW
Tom Welland

Score 53.87 · 10-1-0 (5 KO)

Full name Tom Welland

Age 21 · Rank #444 · Confidence Low 0.474

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 175cm · GB

YM
Yahir Morales

Score 2.35 · 6-23-5 (2 KO)

Full name Yahir Alexander Solorio Morales

Age 20 · Rank #647 · Confidence N/A

Stance N/A · H/R N/A / N/A · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.430

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

64.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.380

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

70.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

54.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.550

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

60.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

58.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.460

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

55.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.330

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Chin

51.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.570

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

63.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.490

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Style Profile Welland: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Morales: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.360

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

20.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

14.0 Welland Confidence Low 0.400

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

10.0 Welland Confidence Very Low 0.240

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Welland Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Morales Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.590

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Welland Confidence Medium 0.590

N/A Morales Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Welland

0 Morales

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Welland

0 Morales

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Welland

100 Morales

Opponent Rating Last 3

54 Welland

59.86 Morales

Trend Score Last 5

80 Welland

0 Morales

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Welland

0 Morales

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

31.25 Welland

0 Morales

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Welland

100 Morales

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

54 Welland

59.86 Morales

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Welland

0 Morales

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Welland stays in class.

Morales stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Welland height: 171.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Morales height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Welland vs unknown stance: N/A

Morales vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Welland style: Boxer Puncher

Morales style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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