Tony Hirsch vs Jaybrio Benito

Data as of: 2026-08-20 08:25:05 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Jr. vs Benito 28 Jun 2026 Model lean: Hirsch Custom 77.91% ROI: 36.94% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Tony Hirsch 77.91%

Jr. odds 1.7576

Benito odds 2.0000

Jr. implied 56.90%

Benito implied 50.00%

Market odds 1.7576

Implied probability 56.90%

Expected return 1.3694

ROI 36.94%

Edge 21.02%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-06-26 00:30:03 UTC

Fighter details

Tony Hirsch Jr.

Score 57.79 · 9-0-2 (5 KO)

Full name Anthony Jerome Hirsch

Age N/A · Rank #535 · Confidence Low 0.408

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 183cm · US

Jaybrio Benito

Score 55.98 · 7-1-0 (5 KO)

Full name Jaybrio Pe Benito

Age 28 · Rank #558 · Confidence Low 0.437

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Tony Hirsch Jr.

Full name: Anthony Jerome Hirsch
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #535
Current model score: 57.79
Fighter confidence: Low 0.408
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 9-0-2 (5 KO)

28 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Hirsch

Custom

78% Hirsch Jr.

22% Benito

Model lean: Tony Hirsch 77.91%
Win probability: 77.91%
Market odds: 1.7576
Implied probability: 56.90%
Expected ROI (1u): 36.94%
Value edge: 21.02%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-06-26 00:30:03 UTC

Jaybrio Benito

Full name: Jaybrio Pe Benito
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #558
Current model score: 55.98
Fighter confidence: Low 0.437
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 7-1-0 (5 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

61.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.420

68.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

58.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.300

66.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.400

Pace Pressure

60.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.380

67.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.470

Defensive Skill

66.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.320

Distance Footwork Control

62.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.370

61.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.350

Ring IQ Adaptability

67.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.520

64.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

57.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.280

60.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.310

Chin

64.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.340

62.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.280

Cardio Engine

70.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

65.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.450

Style Profile Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Benito: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.280

18.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

26.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.450

14.0 Benito Confidence Low 0.360

Power Slugger

18.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.430

34.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

26.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Jr. Confidence Very Low 0.200

8.0 Benito Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Jr. vs unknown stance · Benito vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.380

62.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.270

38.0 Benito Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Jr.

66.67 Benito

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Jr.

33.33 Benito

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Jr.

66.67 Benito

Opponent Rating Last 3

54.86 Jr.

56.61 Benito

Trend Score Last 5

100 Jr.

80 Benito

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Jr.

83.33 Benito

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Jr.

56.67 Benito

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Jr.

66.67 Benito

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

54.86 Jr.

56.61 Benito

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Jr.

90 Benito

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Benito stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jr. height: 178.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Benito height: 168.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +20.0cm

Stance Interaction

Jr. vs unknown stance: N/A

Benito vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Benito style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.