OWN YOUR EDGE
Nash vs Perez 26 Jul 2026 Model lean: Nash Custom 62.68% ROI: -30.72% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Troy Nash 62.68%

Nash odds 1.1053

Perez odds 6.0000

Nash implied 90.47%

Perez implied 16.67%

Market odds 1.1053

Implied probability 90.47%

Expected return 0.6928

ROI -30.72%

Edge -27.80%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-07-23 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details
TN
Troy Nash

Score 57.90 · 8-0-1 (1 KO)

Full name Troy Aqealies Tichj Nash

Age 21 · Rank #522 · Confidence Medium 0.502

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 180cm · US

EP
Ethan Perez

Score 57.26 · 8-1-1 (3 KO)

Full name Ethan Perez

Age 21 · Rank #530 · Confidence Low 0.466

Stance N/A · H/R 175cm / 173cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

46.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.580

Punching Accuracy

63.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.470

66.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

66.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.420

67.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

62.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.490

63.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.440

Defensive Skill

69.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.540

68.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

68.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.510

65.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.420

Ring IQ Adaptability

71.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Punching

58.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.370

60.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.330

Chin

64.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.350

66.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.340

Cardio Engine

74.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.640

71.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.560

Style Profile Nash: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Perez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.300

16.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

43.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.620

28.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

6.0 Nash Confidence High 0.800

12.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer-Puncher

24.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.450

34.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

13.0 Nash Confidence Very Low 0.220

10.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.260

Stance Interaction Nash vs unknown stance  ·  Perez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

60.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

40.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Nash

33.33 Perez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Nash

0 Perez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Nash

100 Perez

Opponent Rating Last 3

60.86 Nash

66.3 Perez

Trend Score Last 5

91.25 Nash

70 Perez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Nash

66.67 Perez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Nash

21.43 Perez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Nash

100 Perez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

60.86 Nash

66.3 Perez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95.63 Nash

85 Perez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nash stays in class.

Perez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nash height: 178.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Perez height: 175.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nash.

Advantage: Nash +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nash vs unknown stance: N/A

Perez vs orthodox: 60.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Nash style: Out Boxer

Perez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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