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Nash vs Perez 26 Jul 2026 Model pick: Nash Locked prediction 65.97% ROI: -27.09% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Troy Nash 65.97%

Nash odds 1.1053

Perez odds 6.0000

Nash implied 90.47%

Perez implied 16.67%

Market odds 1.1053

Implied probability 90.47%

Expected return 0.7291

ROI -27.09%

Edge -24.51%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-23 02:03:46 UTC

Fighter details
TN
Troy Nash

Score 57.75 · 7-0-1 (1 KO)

Full name Troy Aqealies Tichj Nash

Age 21 · Rank #499 · Confidence Low 0.499

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 180cm · US

EP
Ethan Perez

Score 54.72 · 8-0-1 (3 KO)

Full name Ethan Perez

Age 21 · Rank #559 · Confidence Low 0.439

Stance N/A · H/R 175cm / 173cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

44.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.620

58.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.610

Punching Accuracy

65.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.500

62.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

69.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.440

60.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

61.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.450

63.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.460

Defensive Skill

72.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.570

64.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.500

61.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.390

Ring IQ Adaptability

71.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.550

65.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Punching

58.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.390

55.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.290

Chin

67.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.360

67.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

74.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.610

68.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Nash: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Perez: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.340

18.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.330

Out-Boxer

42.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.610

34.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

6.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.730

10.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.470

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Nash Confidence Low 0.440

28.0 Perez Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Nash Confidence Very Low 0.220

10.0 Perez Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Nash vs unknown stance  ·  Perez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

62.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.390

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Nash Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Perez Confidence Low 0.390

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nash

66.67 Perez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Nash

0 Perez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Nash

100 Perez

Opponent Rating Last 3

51.86 Nash

52.67 Perez

Trend Score Last 5

90 Nash

90 Perez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Nash

83.33 Perez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

10 Nash

25 Perez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Nash

100 Perez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

51.86 Nash

52.67 Perez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Nash

95 Perez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nash stays in class.

Perez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nash height: 178.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Perez height: 175.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nash.

Advantage: Nash +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nash vs unknown stance: N/A

Perez vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Nash style: Out Boxer

Perez style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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