Model pick Michael Zerafa 75.65%
Zerafa odds 1.0769
Ortiz odds 6.8000
Zerafa implied 92.86%
Ortiz implied 14.71%
Market odds 1.0769
Implied probability 92.86%
Expected return 0.8147
ROI -18.53%
Edge -17.21%
Lean No Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC
Score 58.72 · 33-5-0 (21 KO)
Full name Michael Zerafa
Age 34 · Rank #449 · Confidence Medium 0.565
Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 182cm · AU
Score 45.24 · 25-1-0 (0 KO)
Full name Alejandro Jose Ortiz
Age 25 · Rank #664 · Confidence Low 0.283
Stance N/A · H/R 176cm / 178cm · VE
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Zerafa stays in class.
Ortiz moves up 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Zerafa.
Advantage: Zerafa
Height Reach Delta
Zerafa height: 177.0cm reach: 182.0cm
Ortiz height: 176.0cm reach: 178.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Zerafa.
Advantage: Zerafa +5.0cm
Stance Interaction
Zerafa vs unknown stance: N/A
Ortiz vs orthodox: 66.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Zerafa style: Boxer Puncher
Ortiz style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
