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Hickey vs Axe 08 Aug 2026 Model pick: Hickey Locked prediction 80.00% ROI: -13.85% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Sam Hickey 80.00%

Hickey odds 1.0769

Axe odds 6.8000

Hickey implied 92.86%

Axe implied 14.71%

Market odds 1.0769

Implied probability 92.86%

Expected return 0.8615

ROI -13.85%

Edge -12.86%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Fighter details
SH
Sam Hickey

Score 63.15 · 5-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Sam Hickey

Age 26 · Rank #325 · Confidence Medium 0.526

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 191cm · GB

BA
Brad Axe

Score 48.05 · 5-1-0 (0 KO)

Full name Brad Axe

Age 29 · Rank #668 · Confidence Low 0.432

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 191cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

66.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.560

34.0 Axe Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.600

56.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

74.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.580

52.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.300

Pace Pressure

64.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.520

58.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.360

Defensive Skill

73.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.610

57.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.350

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.630

61.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.460

Ring IQ Adaptability

77.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.640

60.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.400

Counter Punching

71.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.560

49.0 Axe Confidence Very Low 0.240

Chin

69.0 Hickey Confidence Low 0.420

60.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.330

Cardio Engine

74.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.590

68.0 Axe Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Hickey: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Axe: Out-Boxer Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Hickey Confidence Low 0.260

18.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

35.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.580

46.0 Axe Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

12.0 Hickey Confidence Low 0.420

4.0 Axe Confidence High 0.780

Boxer-Puncher

33.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.600

14.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.360

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Hickey Confidence Very Low 0.220

18.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Hickey vs orthodox  ·  Axe vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.340

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hickey Confidence Medium 0.580

36.0 Axe Confidence Low 0.340

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hickey

100 Axe

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Hickey

0 Axe

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Hickey

66.67 Axe

Opponent Rating Last 3

52.24 Hickey

46.05 Axe

Trend Score Last 5

100 Hickey

85 Axe

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hickey

100 Axe

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Hickey

0 Axe

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Hickey

66.67 Axe

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

52.24 Hickey

46.05 Axe

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Hickey

92.5 Axe

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hickey stays in class.

Axe stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hickey height: 188.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Axe height: 178.0cm reach: 190.5cm

Interaction: high advantage Hickey.

Advantage: Hickey +10.5cm

Stance Interaction

Hickey vs orthodox: 62.0

Axe vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Hickey style: Out Boxer

Axe style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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