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Sosa vs Rafferty 18 Apr 2026 Model lean: Rafferty Custom 52.62% ROI: -45.80% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Tom Rafferty 52.62%

Sosa odds 13.0000

Rafferty odds 1.0300

Sosa implied 7.69%

Rafferty implied 97.09%

Market odds 1.03

Implied probability 97.09%

Expected return 0.5420

ROI -45.80%

Edge -44.47%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:28 UTC

Fighter details
PS
Pablo Sosa

Score 5.47 · 9-9-3 (3 KO)

Full name Pablo Nataniel Sosa Salomon

Age 38 · Rank #666 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / N/A · AR

TR
Tom Rafferty

Score 8.63 · 16-0-0 (6 KO)

Full name Tom Rafferty

Age 28 · Rank #583 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Chin

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Style Profile Sosa:  vs  Rafferty: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Stance Interaction Sosa vs orthodox  ·  Rafferty vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

N/A Sosa Confidence No Data

N/A Rafferty Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Sosa

100 Rafferty

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Sosa

66.67 Rafferty

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Sosa

66.67 Rafferty

Opponent Rating Last 3

52.67 Sosa

34.69 Rafferty

Trend Score Last 5

60 Sosa

100 Rafferty

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

38.89 Sosa

100 Rafferty

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

8.33 Sosa

66.67 Rafferty

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Sosa

66.67 Rafferty

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

53.33 Sosa

34.69 Rafferty

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Sosa

100 Rafferty

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Sosa stays in class.

Rafferty moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Sosa.

Advantage: Sosa

Height Reach Delta

Sosa height: 177.0cm reach: N/A

Rafferty height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Sosa vs orthodox: N/A

Rafferty vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Sosa style:

Rafferty style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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