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Mahoney vs Hill 23 Apr 2026 Result: Mahoney Time-safe Pick 70.36% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Ben Mahoney

Model pick Ben Mahoney 70.36%

Prediction result Correct

Mahoney odds 1.1000

Hill odds 6.1000

Mahoney implied 90.91%

Hill implied 16.39%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.7740

ROI -22.60%

Edge -20.55%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-04-18 14:18:22 UTC

Fighter details
BM
Ben Mahoney

Score 61.75 · 16-0-1 (9 KO)

Full name Ben Mahoney

Age 31 · Rank #274 · Confidence Low 0.475

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 180cm · AU

DH
Dan Hill

Score 48.94 · 7-1-0 (3 KO)

Full name Daniel Hill

Age 29 · Rank #439 · Confidence Low 0.476

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.700

64.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.610

Punching Accuracy

69.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.520

59.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

63.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.360

56.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

67.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.480

63.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

71.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.580

47.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

68.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.460

52.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.390

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.620

57.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.470

Counter Punching

64.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.370

50.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

73.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.550

58.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

76.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Mahoney: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Hill: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.320

18.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

24.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.480

24.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

16.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.400

10.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.600

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Mahoney Confidence Medium 0.590

38.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

12.0 Mahoney Confidence Very Low 0.240

10.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Mahoney Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Hill Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.420

62.0 Hill Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Mahoney Confidence Low 0.300

38.0 Hill Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Mahoney

66.67 Hill

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Mahoney

33.33 Hill

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Mahoney

0 Hill

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.42 Mahoney

53.67 Hill

Trend Score Last 5

91.25 Mahoney

80 Hill

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Mahoney

83.33 Hill

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Mahoney

41.67 Hill

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Mahoney

0 Hill

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.42 Mahoney

53.67 Hill

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95.63 Mahoney

90 Hill

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mahoney stays in class.

Hill stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Mahoney reach: 180.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Hill reach: 175.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Mahoney.

Advantage: Mahoney

Stance Interaction

Mahoney advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Hill advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Mahoney style: Boxer Puncher

Hill style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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