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Oberlton vs Nicholson 08 Nov 2026 Model pick: Oberlton Locked prediction 85.81% ROI: -2.75% Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Atif Oberlton 85.81%

Oberlton odds 1.1333

Nicholson odds 5.3000

Oberlton implied 88.24%

Nicholson implied 18.87%

Market odds 1.1333

Implied probability 88.24%

Expected return 0.9725

ROI -2.75%

Edge -2.42%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-11-03 10:36:43 UTC

Fighter details
AO
Atif Oberlton

Score 67.81 · 16-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Atif Oberlton

Age 28 · Rank #153 · Confidence Medium 0.524

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 185cm · US

DN
Deon Nicholson

Score 54.61 · 23-1-0 (19 KO)

Full name Deon Nicholson

Age 36 · Rank #721 · Confidence Low 0.486

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 185cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Oberlton Confidence High 0.820

83.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

75.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

78.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.540

66.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

74.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.560

67.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.450

Defensive Skill

69.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.450

58.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.500

61.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.390

Ring IQ Adaptability

72.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.520

63.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.430

Counter Punching

76.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.500

57.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.320

Chin

68.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.340

50.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

71.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.460

64.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.420

Style Profile Oberlton: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Nicholson: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.350

12.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.380

Out-Boxer

10.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.400

14.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.440

Power Slugger

38.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.740

36.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.620

28.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Oberlton Confidence Low 0.250

10.0 Nicholson Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Oberlton vs orthodox  ·  Nicholson vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Oberlton Confidence Medium 0.640

32.0 Nicholson Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Oberlton

100 Nicholson

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Oberlton

33.33 Nicholson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Oberlton

0 Nicholson

Opponent Rating Last 3

78.83 Oberlton

41 Nicholson

Trend Score Last 5

100 Oberlton

100 Nicholson

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Oberlton

100 Nicholson

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

75 Oberlton

33.33 Nicholson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Oberlton

0 Nicholson

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

78.83 Oberlton

44.38 Nicholson

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Oberlton

100 Nicholson

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Oberlton stays in class.

Nicholson stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Oberlton height: 191.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Nicholson height: 180.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Oberlton.

Advantage: Oberlton +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Oberlton vs orthodox: 72.0

Nicholson vs southpaw: 32.0

Interaction: medium advantage Oberlton.

Advantage: Oberlton

Style Interaction

Oberlton style: Power Slugger

Nicholson style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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