Model pick Erik Mares 56.99%
Iwata odds 1.5319
Mares odds 2.6300
Iwata implied 65.28%
Mares implied 38.02%
Market odds 2.63
Implied probability 38.02%
Expected return 1.4988
ROI 49.88%
Edge 18.97%
Lean Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-07-18 01:34:33 UTC
Score 68.57 · 16-2-0 (13 KO)
Full name Shokichi Iwata
Age 30 · Rank #141 · Confidence Medium 0.571
Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 163cm · JP
Score 67.66 · 19-0-0 (8 KO)
Full name Erik Badillo Mares
Age 30 · Rank #154 · Confidence Medium 0.562
Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 163cm · MX
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Iwata stays in class.
Mares stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Iwata height: 163.0cm reach: 163.0cm
Mares height: 165.0cm reach: 163.0cm
Interaction: low advantage Mares.
Advantage: Mares +2.0cm
Stance Interaction
Iwata vs southpaw: 62.0
Mares vs orthodox: 66.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Iwata style: Power Slugger
Mares style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: medium advantage Mares.
Advantage: Mares
