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Iwata vs Mares 20 Jul 2026 Result: Iwata Time-safe result Pick 64.96% Prediction: Correct Light flyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Shokichi Iwata (TKO)

Pre-fight pick Shokichi Iwata 64.96%

Prediction result Correct

Iwata odds 1.5319

Mares odds 2.6300

Iwata implied 65.28%

Mares implied 38.02%

Pre-fight odds 1.5319

Pre-fight implied 65.28%

Expected return 0.9952

ROI -0.48%

Edge -0.32%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-18 01:34:33 UTC

Fighter details
SI
Shokichi Iwata

Score 73.18 · 17-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Shokichi Iwata

Age 30 · Rank #193 · Confidence Medium 0.571

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 163cm · JP

EM
Erik Mares

Score 62.89 · 19-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Erik Badillo Mares

Age 30 · Rank #375 · Confidence Medium 0.562

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 163cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Iwata Confidence High 0.840

71.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.600

77.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.560

76.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

81.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.670

74.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

70.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.520

78.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.540

79.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring IQ Adaptability

74.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.580

81.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

72.0 Iwata Confidence Low 0.460

73.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

75.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.500

75.0 Mares Confidence Low 0.450

Cardio Engine

77.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.620

82.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Iwata: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Mares: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Iwata Confidence Low 0.490

18.0 Mares Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

12.0 Iwata Confidence Low 0.420

30.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

34.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.680

10.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Iwata Confidence Low 0.310

8.0 Mares Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Iwata vs southpaw  ·  Mares vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

38.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Mares Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

62.0 Iwata Confidence Medium 0.670

34.0 Mares Confidence Low 0.430

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Iwata

100 Mares

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Iwata

0 Mares

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Iwata

33.33 Mares

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.9 Iwata

59.51 Mares

Trend Score Last 5

80 Iwata

100 Mares

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80 Iwata

100 Mares

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

70 Iwata

25 Mares

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Iwata

33.33 Mares

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.9 Iwata

59.51 Mares

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

82.5 Iwata

100 Mares

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Iwata stays in class.

Mares stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Iwata height: 163.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Mares height: 165.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Mares.

Advantage: Mares +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

Iwata vs southpaw: 62.0

Mares vs orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Iwata style: Power Slugger

Mares style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Mares.

Advantage: Mares

Model: Opponent Derived Objective

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