John Ramírez vs Lucas Emanuel Fernandez

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Current odds

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Ramírez vs Fernandez 23 May 2026 Model pick: Ramírez Current odds 56.69% ROI: -39.73% Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick John Ramírez 56.69%

Ramírez odds 1.0630

Fernandez odds 9.0000

Ramírez implied 94.07%

Fernandez implied 11.11%

Pick odds 1.063

Pick implied 94.07%

Expected return 0.6027

ROI -39.73%

Edge -37.38%

Lean No Value

Bout Current odds

Odds updated 2026-05-22 00:30:04 UTC

Fighter details

John Ramírez

Score 61.34 · 16-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name John Steve Ramírez

Age 30 · Rank #289 · Confidence Medium 0.504

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 173cm · US

Lucas Emanuel Fernandez

Score 51.65 · 14-4-2 (9 KO)

Full name Lucas Emanuel Fernandez Leone

Age 34 · Rank #432 · Confidence Low 0.458

Stance Orthodox · H/R 161cm / 183cm · AR

John Ramírez

Full name: John Steve Ramírez
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #289
Current model score: 61.34
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.504
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 163cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 16-1-0 (9 KO)

23 May 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Ramírez

Current odds

57% Ramírez

43% Fernandez

Model pick: John Ramírez 56.69%
Win probability: 56.69%
Market odds: 1.063
Implied probability: 94.07%
Expected ROI (1u): -39.73%
Value edge: -37.38%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-05-22 00:30:04 UTC

Lucas Emanuel Fernandez

Full name: Lucas Emanuel Fernandez Leone
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #432
Current model score: 51.65
Fighter confidence: Low 0.458
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 161cm / 183cm
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 14-4-2 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

74.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Fernandez Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

70.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.500

60.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

72.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.460

58.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.300

Pace Pressure

76.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.480

Defensive Skill

64.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.480

54.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.440

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.460

57.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.410

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.530

61.0 Fernandez Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

61.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.360

52.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.280

Chin

73.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Fernandez Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

78.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Fernandez Confidence Medium 0.550

Style Profile Ramírez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Fernandez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.450

19.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

18.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.420

21.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

15.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.440

18.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.440

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.590

34.0 Fernandez Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

12.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.310

8.0 Fernandez Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Advantage Ramírez Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Fernandez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Ramírez Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.450

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Ramírez Confidence Low 0.380

38.0 Fernandez Confidence Low 0.450

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Ramírez

33.33 Fernandez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Ramírez

0 Fernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Ramírez

66.67 Fernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3

50.33 Ramírez

54.33 Fernandez

Trend Score Last 5

85 Ramírez

50 Fernandez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ramírez

55.56 Fernandez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.14 Ramírez

27.78 Fernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Ramírez

66.67 Fernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.33 Ramírez

54.33 Fernandez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Ramírez

60 Fernandez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ramírez stays in class.

Fernandez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Ramírez height: 163.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Fernandez height: 161.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Fernandez.

Advantage: Fernandez +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ramírez vs orthodox: 68.0

Fernandez vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Ramírez.

Advantage: Ramírez (Ramírez +6.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Ramírez style: Boxer Puncher

Fernandez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral