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Jones vs Sanchez 03 Oct 2026 Model pick: Jones Locked prediction 51.84% ROI: -46.43% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Omari Jones 51.84%

Jones odds 1.0333

Sanchez odds 9.9000

Jones implied 96.78%

Sanchez implied 10.10%

Market odds 1.0333

Implied probability 96.78%

Expected return 0.5357

ROI -46.43%

Edge -44.93%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-11 16:54:15 UTC

Fighter details
Omari Jones
Omari Jones

Score 66.41 · 7-0-0 (4 KO)

Full name Omari Lamon Jones

Age 23 · Rank #210 · Confidence Medium 0.527

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 178cm · US

AS
Alan Sanchez

Score 53.98 · 24-6-1 (10 KO)

Full name Alan Leonardo Sanchez Rivera

Age 35 · Rank #614 · Confidence Medium 0.571

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 193cm · N/A

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.700

60.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.550

63.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

78.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.600

61.0 Sanchez Confidence Low 0.400

Pace Pressure

68.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.500

64.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

74.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.620

66.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.650

Ring IQ Adaptability

80.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.650

67.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Punching

71.0 Jones Confidence Low 0.480

59.0 Sanchez Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

67.0 Jones Confidence Low 0.350

57.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

75.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Jones: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Sanchez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Jones Confidence Low 0.280

12.0 Sanchez Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

30.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.560

28.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

16.0 Jones Confidence Low 0.450

10.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.660

40.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Jones Confidence Very Low 0.220

10.0 Sanchez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Jones vs orthodox  ·  Sanchez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Jones Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Sanchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Jones

66.67 Sanchez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Jones

0 Sanchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Jones

0 Sanchez

Opponent Rating Last 3

49.16 Jones

52.33 Sanchez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Jones

80 Sanchez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Jones

72.62 Sanchez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Jones

3.57 Sanchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Jones

0 Sanchez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

49.16 Jones

52.33 Sanchez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Jones

80 Sanchez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jones stays in class.

Sanchez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jones height: 188.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Sanchez height: 185.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Sanchez.

Advantage: Sanchez +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Jones vs orthodox: 58.0

Sanchez vs orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: low advantage Sanchez.

Advantage: Sanchez

Style Interaction

Jones style: Boxer Puncher

Sanchez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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