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Velazquez vs Abdullaev 20 Jun 2026 Model pick: Abdullaev Locked prediction 56.47% ROI: -37.88% Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Ruslan Abdullaev 56.47%

Velazquez odds 7.0000

Abdullaev odds 1.1000

Velazquez implied 14.29%

Abdullaev implied 90.91%

Market odds 1.1

Implied probability 90.91%

Expected return 0.6212

ROI -37.88%

Edge -34.44%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-17 01:12:09 UTC

Fighter details
OV
Orestes Velazquez

Score 57.42 · 8-1-0 (7 KO)

Full name Orestes Velazquez Romero

Age 32 · Rank #420 · Confidence Low 0.488

Stance N/A · H/R 173cm / 173cm · CU

RA
Ruslan Abdullaev

Score 66.56 · 4-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Ruslan Abdullaev

Age 23 · Rank #173 · Confidence Medium 0.507

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 166cm · UZ

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.720

74.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.580

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.480

76.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

69.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.380

80.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.640

Pace Pressure

75.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.550

72.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

60.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.420

77.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.610

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.400

78.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.620

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.460

79.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

62.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.320

75.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.540

Chin

56.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.390

71.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.390

Cardio Engine

61.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.500

78.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Velazquez: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Abdullaev: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.260

Out Boxer

12.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.400

18.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

32.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.680

14.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.340

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.620

42.0 Abdullaev Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

10.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.280

14.0 Abdullaev Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Velazquez vs orthodox  ·  Abdullaev vs unknown stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.470

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Abdullaev Confidence Low 0.470

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Velazquez

100 Abdullaev

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Velazquez

33.33 Abdullaev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Velazquez

66.67 Abdullaev

Opponent Rating Last 3

63.99 Velazquez

61.44 Abdullaev

Trend Score Last 5

80 Velazquez

100 Abdullaev

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Velazquez

100 Abdullaev

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Velazquez

66.67 Abdullaev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Velazquez

66.67 Abdullaev

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.99 Velazquez

61.44 Abdullaev

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Velazquez

100 Abdullaev

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Velazquez stays in class.

Abdullaev stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Velazquez height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Abdullaev height: 170.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Velazquez.

Advantage: Velazquez +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Velazquez vs orthodox: 68.0

Abdullaev vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Velazquez style: Power Slugger

Abdullaev style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Abdullaev.

Advantage: Abdullaev

Model: FiteQuant

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