Nazarena Romero vs María Corpus

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Time-safe As-of 2026-05-30

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Romero vs Corpus 30 May 2026 Result: Romero Time-safe Pick 76.00% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Natalia Romero (U D)

Model pick Natalia Romero 76.00%

Prediction result Correct

Romero odds 1.0600

Corpus odds 10.0000

Romero implied 94.34%

Corpus implied 10.00%

Pick odds 1.06

Pick implied 94.34%

Expected return 0.7814

ROI -21.86%

Edge -20.62%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:05 UTC

Fighter details

Nazarena Romero

Score 59.66 · 15-1-2 (8 KO)

Full name Natalia Nazarena Del Valle Romero

Age 32 · Rank #342 · Confidence Medium 0.510

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 160cm · AR

María Corpus

Score 47.67 · 0-4-1 (0 KO)

Full name María del Carmen Salinas Corpus

Age 37 · Rank #496 · Confidence Low 0.488

Stance Southpaw · H/R 152cm / 156cm · MX

Nazarena Romero

Full name: Natalia Nazarena Del Valle Romero
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #342
Current model score: 59.66
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.510
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 163cm / 160cm
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 15-1-2 (8 KO)

30 May 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Romero

Time-safe

74% Romero

26% Corpus

Fight result: Natalia Romero (U D)
Model pick: Natalia Romero 76.00%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 76.00%
Market odds: 1.06
Implied probability: 94.34%
Expected ROI (1u): -21.86%
Value edge: -20.62%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:05 UTC

María Corpus

Full name: María del Carmen Salinas Corpus
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #496
Current model score: 47.67
Fighter confidence: Low 0.488
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 152cm / 156cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 0-4-1 (0 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.680

43.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

71.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.440

Hand Speed

69.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.430

57.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

74.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

66.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.470

54.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.450

56.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.410

Ring Iq Adaptability

70.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.530

60.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

63.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.350

59.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

72.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.490

57.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

76.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Romero: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Corpus: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

25.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.460

28.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.380

Out Boxer

14.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.420

16.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.300

Power Slugger

21.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.490

8.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

32.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.610

30.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.440

Counter Puncher

8.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.270

18.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Romero Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Corpus Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Corpus Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.660

28.0 Corpus Confidence Low 0.400

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Romero

0 Corpus

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Romero

0 Corpus

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Romero

100 Corpus

Opponent Rating Last 3

42.66 Romero

73.07 Corpus

Trend Score Last 5

60 Romero

10 Corpus

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.67 Romero

0 Corpus

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

40 Romero

0 Corpus

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Romero

100 Corpus

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

45.87 Romero

78.23 Corpus

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Romero

10 Corpus

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Romero stays in class.

Corpus stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Romero height: 163.0cm reach: 160.0cm

Corpus height: 152.0cm reach: 156.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Romero.

Advantage: Romero +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Romero vs southpaw: 38.0

Corpus vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Corpus.

Advantage: Corpus

Style Interaction

Romero style: Boxer Puncher

Corpus style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral