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Diaz vs Santibanez 28 Jun 2026 Model pick: Santibanez Locked prediction 64.99% ROI: 62.48% Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick José Santibanez 64.99%

Diaz odds 1.5000

Santibanez odds 2.5000

Diaz implied 66.67%

Santibanez implied 40.00%

Market odds 2.5

Implied probability 40.00%

Expected return 1.6248

ROI 62.48%

Edge 24.99%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-26 10:15:57 UTC

Fighter details
FD
Floyd Diaz

Score 60.81 · 14-0-0 (3 KO)

Full name Floyd Vick Jr Diaz

Age 23 · Rank #349 · Confidence Medium 0.556

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 163cm · US

JS
José Santibanez

Score 63.32 · 18-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name José Andrés Teran Santibanez

Age 26 · Rank #280 · Confidence Medium 0.545

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 170cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

54.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.630

79.0 Santibanez Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

71.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.550

70.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

74.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.500

68.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

66.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.520

74.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

73.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.570

64.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.410

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.530

67.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.440

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.580

75.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

69.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

68.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.420

71.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.460

Cardio Engine

76.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.620

77.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Diaz: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Santibanez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.350

24.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

43.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.730

12.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

6.0 Diaz Confidence High 0.820

26.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.580

32.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

15.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.620

6.0 Santibanez Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Diaz vs orthodox  ·  Santibanez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

61.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.440

72.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

39.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.440

28.0 Santibanez Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Diaz

33.33 Santibanez

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 Diaz

46.67 Santibanez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Diaz

33.33 Santibanez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

49 Diaz

46.67 Santibanez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Diaz

100 Santibanez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Diaz stays in class.

Santibanez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Diaz height: 165.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Santibanez height: 165.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Santibanez.

Advantage: Santibanez +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Diaz vs orthodox: 61.0

Santibanez vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Santibanez.

Advantage: Santibanez

Style Interaction

Diaz style: Out Boxer

Santibanez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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