Adrian Serrano vs Brady Ochoa

Data as of: 2026-07-07 00:43:57 UTC Time-safe result As-of 2026-06-28

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Serrano vs Ochoa 28 Jun 2026 Result: Serrano Time-safe result Pick 63.31% Prediction: Incorrect Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Adrian Serrano (U D)

Pre-fight pick Brady Ochoa 63.31%

Prediction result Incorrect

Serrano odds 3.0000

Ochoa odds 1.3597

Serrano implied 33.33%

Ochoa implied 73.55%

Pre-fight odds 1.3597

Pre-fight implied 73.55%

Expected return 0.8608

ROI -13.92%

Edge -10.23%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-06-26 01:17:27 UTC

Fighter details

Adrian Serrano

Score 57.47 · 7-0-2 (3 KO)

Full name Adrian Miguel Serrano

Age 22 · Rank #449 · Confidence Low 0.414

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Brady Ochoa

Score 52.20 · 6-1-1 (2 KO)

Full name Brady Ray Ochoa

Age 19 · Rank #584 · Confidence Low 0.432

Stance N/A · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Adrian Serrano

Full name: Adrian Miguel Serrano
Age: 22
Fighter rank: #449
Current model score: 57.47
Fighter confidence: Low 0.414
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 7-0-2 (3 KO)

28 Jun 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Serrano

Time-safe result

100% Serrano

0% Ochoa

Fight result: Adrian Serrano (U D)
Pre-fight pick: Brady Ochoa 63.31%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 63.31%
Pre-fight odds: 1.3597
Pre-fight implied: 73.55%
Expected ROI (1u): -13.92%
Value edge: -10.23%
Lean assessment: No Value

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-06-26 01:17:27 UTC

Brady Ochoa

Full name: Brady Ray Ochoa
Age: 19
Fighter rank: #584
Current model score: 52.20
Fighter confidence: Low 0.432
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 6-1-1 (2 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

61.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Ochoa Confidence Medium 0.580

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.460

63.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

66.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.340

67.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

64.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.400

62.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.440

Defensive Skill

68.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.440

56.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.420

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.420

59.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.400

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.580

54.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Punching

62.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.310

52.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.300

Chin

70.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.410

61.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.360

Cardio Engine

71.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.470

68.0 Ochoa Confidence Medium 0.550

Style Profile Serrano: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Ochoa: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.330

18.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.340

Out Boxer

35.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.540

34.0 Ochoa Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

10.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.390

10.0 Ochoa Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.510

28.0 Ochoa Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Puncher

11.0 Serrano Confidence Very Low 0.240

10.0 Ochoa Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Serrano vs unknown stance · Ochoa vs unknown stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.350

68.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.390

Vs Southpaw

37.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.350

32.0 Ochoa Confidence Low 0.390

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Serrano

0 Ochoa

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Serrano

0 Ochoa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Serrano

100 Ochoa

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.99 Serrano

70.29 Ochoa

Trend Score Last 5

90 Serrano

50 Ochoa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

75 Serrano

50 Ochoa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Serrano

16.67 Ochoa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Serrano

100 Ochoa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.99 Serrano

70.29 Ochoa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Serrano

75 Ochoa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Serrano stays in class.

Ochoa stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Serrano height: 168.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Ochoa height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Ochoa.

Advantage: Ochoa +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Serrano vs unknown stance: N/A

Ochoa vs unknown stance: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Serrano style: Out Boxer

Ochoa style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral