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Kaleiopu vs Castillo 01 Aug 2026 Model pick: Kaleiopu Locked prediction 84.36% ROI: -11.42% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Dalis Kaleiopu 84.36%

Kaleiopu odds 1.0500

Castillo odds 11.0000

Kaleiopu implied 95.24%

Castillo implied 9.09%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.8858

ROI -11.42%

Edge -10.87%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-29 01:18:46 UTC

Fighter details
DK
Dalis Kaleiopu

Score 56.69 · 8-0-0 (6 KO)

Full name Dalis La'A Kea'o Ke Kai Kaleiopu

Age 27 · Rank #517 · Confidence Low 0.443

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 184cm · US

YC
Yeyery Castillo

Score 47.42 · 14-2-0 (11 KO)

Full name Yeyery Castillo

Age 29 · Rank #659 · Confidence Low 0.428

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / 180cm · DO

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.720

74.0 Castillo Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.520

59.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.380

Hand Speed

67.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.450

61.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.320

Pace Pressure

70.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.500

66.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.470

Defensive Skill

64.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.400

44.0 Castillo Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.450

51.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.360

Ring IQ Adaptability

69.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.500

50.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.390

Counter Punching

63.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.360

48.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.270

Chin

62.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.300

41.0 Castillo Confidence Medium 0.680

Cardio Engine

65.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.420

55.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.340

Style Profile Kaleiopu: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Castillo: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.330

24.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.430

Out-Boxer

18.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.480

10.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.310

Power Slugger

24.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.560

36.0 Castillo Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Medium 0.620

22.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.450

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Very Low 0.240

8.0 Castillo Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Kaleiopu vs unknown stance  ·  Castillo vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.340

64.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.330

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Kaleiopu Confidence Low 0.340

36.0 Castillo Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Kaleiopu

33.33 Castillo

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Kaleiopu

0 Castillo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Kaleiopu

66.67 Castillo

Opponent Rating Last 3

37.25 Kaleiopu

61.07 Castillo

Trend Score Last 5

100 Kaleiopu

60 Castillo

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Kaleiopu

58.97 Castillo

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Kaleiopu

11.54 Castillo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Kaleiopu

66.67 Castillo

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

37.25 Kaleiopu

61.07 Castillo

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Kaleiopu

70 Castillo

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Kaleiopu stays in class.

Castillo moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Kaleiopu.

Advantage: Kaleiopu

Height Reach Delta

Kaleiopu height: 180.0cm reach: 184.0cm

Castillo height: 168.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Kaleiopu.

Advantage: Kaleiopu +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Kaleiopu vs unknown stance: N/A

Castillo vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Kaleiopu style: Boxer Puncher

Castillo style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Kaleiopu.

Advantage: Kaleiopu

Model: FiteQuant

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